NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	8.2 [265]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +50.4%
Boston Celtics	120		Comeback	4.1 [481]		LVP	Collin Gillespie (PHX): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	8	80%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Devin Booker	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.13	-0.05	-0.02	24	70%	0.33	7	-0.23	9	89%	0.03
Jordan Goodwin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Grayson Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.06	0.00	7	65%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khaman Maluach	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheer Fleming	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.01	20	48%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.18	0.30	-0.02	20	67%	0.64	4	-0.14	21	90%	0.15
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	3	133%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.23	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	66%	0.16	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	4	56%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.08	0.04	18	54%	0.03	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	0.0	23.4	0.0	30.9	0.0	41.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.8%

BOS +13.9%

PHX -6.0%

PHX -13.0%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	14.2	114.3	126.3	113.5
season	14.4	15.5		112.9	118.7
opponent	14.3	14.6		110.7	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	17.9	15.1	12.9	14.3
BOS	12.6	18.1	16.2	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-3	-2	17.9	13.4	4.55	18.0	14.8	3.24
Rasheer Fleming	70	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-4	0	14.9	12.8	2.16	15.5	15.5	0.05
Haywood Highsmith	43	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	15.7	13.2	2.48	17.2	14.1	3.08
Grayson Allen	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-7	6	13.7	16.6	-2.98	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Jalen Green	78	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	14.2	14.8	-0.66	15.5	15.3	0.18
Collin Gillespie	82	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.4	16.1	-0.76
Jordan Goodwin	95	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-2	-4	14.7	4.0	10.65	15.8	1.0	14.81
Devin Booker	97	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	14.4	5.0	9.42	15.6	1.0	14.65
Oso Ighodaro	76	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	14.2	14.7	-0.52	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Royce O'Neale	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	14.5	13.3	1.21	15.5	15.2	0.28
Khaman Maluach	84	81	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.27	-14	6	-20	14.7	12.3	2.38	15.6	14.6	1.00

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	87	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	15.7	13.4	2.31	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Jaylen Brown	88	90	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-3	14	15.1	20.3	-5.17	14.5	12.2	2.26
Payton Pritchard	95	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	15.5	0.0	15.49	14.3	0.0	14.33
Baylor Scheierman	84	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	2	4	15.3	17.0	-1.70	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Sam Hauser	68	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	4	0	15.9	14.5	1.42	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Hugo Gonz�lez	75	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	5	-2	14.8	18.0	-3.24	13.5	17.2	-3.71
Neemias Queta	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-1	10	15.4	15.7	-0.22	14.9	12.4	2.53
Derrick White	67	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	8	-8	15.8	14.7	1.06	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Luka Garza	52	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	5	-2	14.7	16.4	-1.73	13.9	14.9	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.6,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.69,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.73,1	91.2%
UTA 86, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	91.2%
MIN 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	91.0%