NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	1.6 [636]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +20.6%
LA Clippers	109		Comeback	1.2 [167]		LVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC): -10.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	14	82%	0.27	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Daeqwon Plowden	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	9	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	12	85%	0.21	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	-0.02	0.04	14	83%	0.19	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dylan Cardwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.14	0.07	-0.04	15	35%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.04	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Killian Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	59%	0.21	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.04	23	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.10	20	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
TyTy Washington Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.5	29.8	14.6	25.2	2.4	37.8	139.1
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +65.5%

LAC -16.9%

SAC +6.5%

LAC -6.3%

SAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.7	14.2	115.7	106.9	113.4
season	14.4	14.9		109.5	115.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		114.1	119.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	12.6	14.1	18.1	14.5
LAC	13.5	13.6	14.1	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	93	93	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-4	17	14.6	12.4	2.20	14.1	10.0	4.11
Russell Westbrook	88	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-1	11	14.6	13.6	1.02	14.2	10.9	3.23
Nique Clifford	102	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.5	0.0	14.45	13.7	0.0	13.75
Dylan Cardwell	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-7	23	14.0	15.8	-1.85	14.5	11.5	3.01
DeMar DeRozan	97	98	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	2	5	14.5	12.6	1.95	13.9	9.2	4.68
Daeqwon Plowden	91	90	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	10	-11	14.8	11.8	2.95	14.0	11.5	2.54
Maxime Raynaud	75	77	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	6	-3	14.3	15.0	-0.75	14.4	11.7	2.74
Killian Hayes	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	11	-13	13.9	14.8	-0.93	14.0	13.6	0.41
Doug McDermott	55	55	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	13	-17	14.2	14.7	-0.47	14.1	13.3	0.79

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TyTy Washington Jr.	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-17	25	14.3	13.6	0.74	17.9	13.5	4.35
John Collins	67	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	13.9	13.5	0.44	14.3	14.8	-0.57
Kris Dunn	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-13	17	14.3	12.6	1.67	15.1	13.1	1.99
Darius Garland	80	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-12	15	14.2	12.0	2.17	14.5	14.3	0.15
Isaiah Jackson	86	86	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	13.9	12.9	0.96	14.6	13.6	1.05
Brook Lopez	59	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	4	-17	13.8	13.6	0.24	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Jordan Miller	99	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	13.9	9.7	4.20	14.3	18.7	-4.34
Bennedict Mathurin	102	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.7	0.0	13.75	14.5	0.0	14.45
Derrick Jones Jr.	88	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	2	-13	14.2	10.7	3.51	14.7	12.9	1.78
Kawhi Leonard	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	9	-27	14.4	12.0	2.42	13.9	16.0	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 116, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.15,0.02,0,0	94.8%
LAL 111, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.01,0	94.5%
SEA 106, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.07,0.05,0	94.0%