NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	9.7 [88]		MVP	Blake Hinson (UTA): +42.6%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.5 [326]		LVP	Cody Williams (UTA): -15.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	8	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	6	87%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.07
Gary Payton II	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LJ Cryer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Malevy Leons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	10	58%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	0%	-0.17
Draymond Green	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Pat Spencer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	13	38%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Hinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.43	0.43	0.06	0.36	-0.00	9	67%	0.47	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	-0.00	4	109%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Oscar Tshiebwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.02	13	66%	0.24	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	-0.00	10	57%	0.11	2	-0.17	8	87%	0.05
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.12,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.02	12	63%	0.16	4	-0.25	6	100%	0.08
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.4	26.0	13.4	30.6	1.4	38.0	139.3
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +72.4%

UTA +34.2%

GSW -7.7%

GSW -49.5%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	14.2	117.2	121.4	113.4
season	14.7	14.0		113.0	112.1
opponent	13.7	13.7		119.2	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	15.1	17.1	12.3	14.7
UTA	14.7	16.2	13.6	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Spencer	56	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	1	-5	15.2	14.0	1.24	14.9	14.0	0.86
De'Anthony Melton	52	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-8	13	13.0	16.5	-3.57	14.4	14.7	-0.23
Gary Payton II	81	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-7	11	14.0	17.5	-3.48	14.6	14.1	0.51
Nate Williams	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	15.4	14.0	1.42	14.6	14.5	0.07
Malevy Leons	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	2	-7	15.5	13.2	2.26	14.8	14.1	0.72
Draymond Green	86	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-5	7	13.9	19.9	-6.06	14.6	14.2	0.39
LJ Cryer	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.4	16.0	-1.60	14.6	14.4	0.23
Seth Curry	89	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-2	1	15.0	11.9	3.07	14.2	18.3	-4.16
Quinten Post	94	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-2	1	14.8	11.2	3.64	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Brandin Podziemski	98	98	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.8	1.0	13.80	14.6	0.0	14.55
Gui Santos	99	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.7	0.0	14.66	14.6	0.0	14.55

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Harkless	86	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	14.2	16.9	-2.70	14.8	13.9	0.84
Cody Williams	98	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.6	0.0	14.55	14.7	0.0	14.66
Blake Hinson	95	95	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	2	-1	14.5	15.7	-1.15	14.7	13.7	0.94
John Konchar	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	4	-5	14.8	13.5	1.32	13.7	18.4	-4.73
Kevin Love	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-4	11	14.6	14.4	0.19	16.2	12.8	3.40
Kyle Filipowski	80	82	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.3	0.27	13.9	18.5	-4.68
Brice Sensabaugh	76	77	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-3	9	14.9	13.5	1.36	14.8	14.3	0.49
Oscar Tshiebwe	58	59	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	-3	9	14.2	15.0	-0.84	15.1	13.9	1.19
Keyonte George	60	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	-3	9	14.9	13.9	1.03	15.1	14.0	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.47,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 117, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,1	92.1%
IND 119, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.84,1	91.7%
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	91.4%