NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	111		Excitement	8.9 [171]		MVP	Desmond Bane (ORL): +52.1%
LA Clippers	109		Comeback	4.0 [211]		LVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC): -38.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.52	0.25	0.28	0.01	19	75%	0.62	1	-0.10	10	60%	-0.06
Tristan da Silva	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	6	81%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Jase Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jevon Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Paolo Banchero	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	16	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	14	48%	0.02	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	25	63%	0.32	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	78%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.03	16	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.17,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.10	-0.28	-0.00	12	25%	-0.36	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.7	31.8	16.2	29.1	1.4	38.2	142.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +55.3%

LAC -6.5%

ORL +8.8%

LAC -10.7%

ORL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.2	118.1	110.1	113.7
season	14.1	14.9		113.3	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.1		113.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	15.7	15.6	15.7	15.0
LAC	13.5	13.2	13.8	19.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	81	86	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	15.4	12.9	2.46	14.8	14.2	0.61
Anthony Black	81	87	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.49	1	1	0	15.0	15.4	-0.40	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Desmond Bane	94	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.0	0.0	15.04	14.8	0.0	14.76
Tristan da Silva	73	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	-2	6	15.8	12.5	3.30	15.0	14.0	0.99
Jonathan Isaac	92	96	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	0	2	15.0	16.0	-0.98	14.8	13.0	1.81
Paolo Banchero	82	86	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.45	-3	5	-8	15.6	11.1	4.54	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Jase Richardson	39	41	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	-1	4	14.0	15.8	-1.83	14.1	15.2	-1.17
Moritz Wagner	60	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	14.5	16.1	-1.59	14.0	16.0	-1.95
Jevon Carter	72	76	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	15.4	13.8	1.66	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Jett Howard	65	70	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.7	-0.99	13.4	18.0	-4.54

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Miller	86	82	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-3	4	14.7	15.3	-0.63	14.8	16.9	-2.15
Kobe Sanders	75	71	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-4	6	13.5	18.5	-4.99	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Brook Lopez	55	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	13.2	16.7	-3.55	15.9	13.9	2.07
Nicolas Batum	45	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	15.0	14.5	0.49	14.3	15.7	-1.36
Derrick Jones Jr.	86	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-5	8	14.6	15.5	-0.90	15.6	11.1	4.54
Kris Dunn	93	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	14.7	16.0	-1.32	15.5	6.6	8.92
Bennedict Mathurin	99	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.8	0.0	14.76	15.0	0.0	15.04
Kawhi Leonard	77	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.1	-0.49	15.2	14.4	0.75
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	97	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.7	16.0	-1.27	15.0	16.0	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.57,0.09,0	92.0%
PHI 108, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.72,0.55,0.26,0	92.0%
MIN 99, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	91.3%