NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	134		Excitement	7.5 [363]		MVP	Khris Middleton (DAL): +29.8%
Indiana Pacers	130		Comeback	1.2 [695]		LVP	Micah Potter (IND): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.14	0.01	15	83%	0.34	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	14	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Naji Marshall	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Marvin Bagley III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	11	41%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Max Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	9	65%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kam Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	4	125%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	14	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.03	0.03	19	70%	0.22	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.07	0.04	13	58%	0.03	2	-0.09	5	40%	-0.05
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	0.0	25.2	0.0	28.9	0.0	30.3	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.9%

IND -3.6%

DAL +19.5%

DAL +18.8%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	13.7	12.6	14.2	121.8	120.4	113.5
season	13.9	13.8		109.5	108.9
opponent	14.2	13.9		117.0	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.4	13.7	14.5	13.5	13.7
IND	12.2	13.5	12.7	12.1	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	89	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-3	10	14.1	12.4	1.68	12.9	11.7	1.16
Daniel Gafford	93	93	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-4	12	13.9	12.9	0.94	12.9	11.3	1.53
Max Christie	98	95	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	1	2	13.8	13.6	0.17	12.7	12.0	0.74
Naji Marshall	89	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	3	-2	14.2	12.0	2.20	12.6	12.9	-0.37
Khris Middleton	87	83	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	1	2	13.9	13.2	0.71	12.6	12.7	-0.04
Marvin Bagley III	97	93	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	4	-4	13.9	12.3	1.62	12.7	12.3	0.44
P.J. Washington	97	93	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	4	-4	13.9	12.3	1.62	12.7	12.3	0.44
Caleb Martin	90	89	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	13.9	12.8	1.08	12.8	12.1	0.66
Klay Thompson	56	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	4	-4	14.1	13.3	0.83	11.8	13.5	-1.73
Tyus Jones	43	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	7	-10	14.0	13.6	0.43	12.0	13.0	-0.99

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micah Potter	83	86	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	12.7	12.3	0.43	14.2	12.2	2.01
Kobe Brown	76	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	3	-10	12.7	12.5	0.25	13.9	13.3	0.64
Jarace Walker	84	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-8	12	12.6	12.8	-0.24	14.1	12.1	2.06
Andrew Nembhard	91	95	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-6	8	12.7	12.4	0.35	14.0	12.2	1.78
Jay Huff	90	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	12.7	12.2	0.58	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Ben Sheppard	95	96	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-3	2	12.4	14.6	-2.24	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Quenton Jackson	99	101	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	3	-10	12.9	9.7	3.25	14.0	10.7	3.34
Pascal Siakam	108	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	12.6	0.0	12.65	13.7	0.0	13.74
Kam Jones	95	96	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.22	-10	6	-16	12.9	10.8	2.14	13.9	12.7	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0	94.6%
CLE 111, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,0	94.4%
IND 93, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%