NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	126		Excitement	8.6 [192]		MVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): +38.5%
Atlanta Hawks	119		Comeback	2.0 [484]		LVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): -16.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.14	0.03	14	79%	0.33	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Grant Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	4	122%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kon Knueppel	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	15	74%	0.24	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabat�	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	8	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Josh Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	20	44%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.06
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	19	39%	-0.05	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.21	-0.03	18	66%	0.42	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.08
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.12	0.03	10	90%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asa Newell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	11	73%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	15	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	26.9	13.6	26.9	2.2	45.0	142.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.4%

CHA +4.6%

CHA +35.8%

ATL -25.7%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	12.5	14.2	128.6	122.7	113.4
season	15.0	13.3		116.4	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.0		112.4	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.6	18.5	15.7	16.2	17.0
ATL	11.8	12.0	15.0	11.5	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sion James	91	90	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	0	7	16.9	18.4	-1.57	12.9	8.0	4.86
Kon Knueppel	91	89	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	17.1	15.6	1.51	12.6	11.4	1.23
Miles Bridges	84	82	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	6	-5	17.5	14.1	3.38	12.2	14.0	-1.77
Brandon Miller	93	92	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.19	-1	8	-9	17.3	10.0	7.34	12.5	12.4	0.11
LaMelo Ball	77	75	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	14	-21	17.5	14.9	2.69	12.2	13.4	-1.17
Moussa Diabat�	89	88	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	11	-15	17.3	13.2	4.13	12.3	14.1	-1.77
Tre Mann	62	62	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	17.0	17.0	-0.05	12.5	12.5	0.08
Ryan Kalkbrenner	64	65	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	17.0	16.9	0.09	12.7	12.2	0.47
Josh Green	64	63	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	17.6	15.8	1.84	13.1	11.4	1.64
Grant Williams	72	70	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	17.0	16.8	0.27	12.4	12.8	-0.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Asa Newell	49	50	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-10	13	13.1	11.9	1.25	17.3	16.6	0.72
Zaccharie Risacher	63	65	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-15	23	12.4	12.7	-0.31	17.8	15.4	2.38
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	92	92	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-11	15	12.5	12.4	0.11	17.5	9.5	7.96
Onyeka Okongwu	73	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-14	21	12.5	12.7	-0.21	17.3	16.0	1.30
Jalen Johnson	92	93	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-8	9	12.5	12.4	0.11	17.3	10.0	7.34
Corey Kispert	94	95	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-6	5	12.7	6.0	6.71	17.4	2.7	14.75
Dyson Daniels	94	96	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	12.7	6.0	6.71	17.3	2.5	14.77
CJ McCollum	95	97	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	12.7	3.5	9.19	17.1	5.0	12.09
Jock Landale	90	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	0	-7	12.9	8.0	4.86	16.9	18.4	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.03,0	92.8%
PHI 112, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.09,0	92.4%
BKN 109, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	91.5%