inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 112 Excitement8.2 [190] MVPJabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +30.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Comeback4.9 [125] LVPIsaiah Hartenstein (OKC): -14.7%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.30.130.14-0.031263%0.3000.001182%0.02
Tari Eason0.160,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.160.050.08-0.032257%0.243-0.09250%-0.01
Alperen Sengun0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.140.080.060.001261%0.171-0.034100%0.03
Kevin Durant0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.050.040.070.061069%0.154-0.11967%-0.04
JD Davison0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01580%0.081-0.0500%0.00
Reed Sheppard0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.040.011262%0.124-0.09250%-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00625%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Clint Capela-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Josh Okogie-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.190.190.150.070.031170%0.211-0.028100%0.07
Cason Wallace0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.011668%0.283-0.192100%0.01
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.090.090.060.030.001061%0.111-0.02875%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.06-0.00942%0.111-0.0610%-0.03
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,00.000.040.010.051550%0.0000.00450%-0.01
Jared McCain0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.01-0.00642%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.001150%0.044-0.1200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01614%-0.101-0.0220%-0.04
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.07-0.00436%-0.043-0.1030%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.629.114.334.92.448.0156.5
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +17.1%
HOU +12.2%
OKC -2.0%
HOU +21.6%
HOU +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game16.013.214.2114.3107.1113.5
season15.513.8115.9117.6
opponent14.613.9105.1111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.414.015.917.916.0
OKC12.913.215.411.613.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jabari Smith Jr.98990.500.000.500.3260616.00.015.9913.20.013.22
Tari Eason98980.480.020.460.3160616.00.015.9913.34.09.32
Josh Okogie94940.430.070.370.2951416.54.511.9813.65.28.45
Alperen Sengun94940.430.070.370.2951416.54.511.9813.65.28.45
Kevin Durant93920.430.070.360.3433016.48.08.4213.312.11.16
JD Davison82810.290.210.080.2033016.612.93.7214.09.74.28
Dorian Finney-Smith78780.180.32-0.140.35-612-1816.912.34.6413.113.8-0.75
Reed Sheppard7373-0.030.53-0.550.33-1218-3017.112.74.3912.814.5-1.73
Clint Capela2828-0.220.72-0.940.05-915-2418.015.22.7613.813.00.84

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Hartenstein51530.16-0.660.82-0.1912-183013.712.70.9217.913.74.21
Jaylin Williams58570.12-0.620.74-0.025-111613.512.80.7516.315.60.74
Kenrich Williams6060-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-7814.211.72.5216.415.31.19
Jared McCain7374-0.19-0.310.13-0.252-81013.811.62.2316.913.33.52
Cason Wallace7472-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-5413.313.00.3017.312.54.80
Luguentz Dort8686-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.320-6613.411.81.5816.99.77.21
Alex Caruso9494-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.29-60-613.58.45.0816.46.79.63
Isaiah Joe9796-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.35-5-1-413.43.59.9216.25.510.71
Chet Holmgren9998-0.500.00-0.50-0.32-60-613.20.013.2216.00.015.99
Aaron Wiggins9998-0.500.00-0.50-0.32-60-613.20.013.2216.00.015.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 108, DET 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,091.3%
NOH 100, CHI 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.04,0.03,0,090.9%
PHI 112, CLE 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.32,0.16,090.4%