NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	8.8 [147]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +55.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	16.1 [17]		LVP	Jeremiah Fears (NOP): -24.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.55	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.55	0.18	0.38	0.01	13	83%	0.64	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.03
Saddiq Bey	0.48	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.44,0.48	0.15	0.33	-0.01	21	61%	0.49	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.11
Derik Queen	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.01	11	71%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce McGowens	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.00	6	79%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Trey Murphy III	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.00	-0.00	15	81%	0.23	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovi?	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.5	0.50	0.14	0.37	0.01	11	77%	0.53	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	18	57%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	12	43%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.32,0.02	0.02	0.19	-0.17	-0.00	22	66%	0.10	1	-0.08	9	89%	0.05
Joan Beringer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	0.0	33.1	0.0	25.1	0.0	33.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +76.1%

NOP +17.9%

MIN -25.2%

MIN -18.6%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	14.2	121.4	118.6	113.5
season	14.2	13.9		111.3	115.5
opponent	14.1	14.1		111.6	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	16.1	15.6	13.7	14.6
MIN	13.3	13.2	16.4	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	61	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-4	12	15.0	13.9	1.04	16.2	12.6	3.55
Yves Missi	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-11	26	15.1	12.4	2.76	14.9	14.6	0.30
Zion Williamson	98	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.6	0.0	14.59	14.9	0.0	14.90
Trey Murphy III	94	92	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	1	2	14.6	14.0	0.62	15.2	10.0	5.16
Saddiq Bey	87	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	3	-2	14.4	16.3	-1.89	14.9	14.8	0.09
Jeremiah Fears	93	93	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	2	0	14.9	8.2	6.74	15.0	13.5	1.46
Bryce McGowens	94	93	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	2	0	14.8	9.5	5.31	15.0	13.5	1.46
Micah Peavy	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	-2	8	15.7	14.4	1.38	18.0	14.3	3.72
Derik Queen	81	79	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	10	-16	15.2	11.9	3.28	15.1	13.8	1.31
Karlo Matkovi?	38	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	17	-30	15.1	14.3	0.84	13.2	15.9	-2.76

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Clark	67	69	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.05	10	-14	24	15.0	14.7	0.24	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Johnny Juzang	47	47	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.04	7	-11	18	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.9	13.4	2.42
Joan Beringer	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	6	-16	15.2	14.6	0.61	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Donte DiVincenzo	51	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	2	-8	16.3	13.3	3.03	14.9	14.3	0.56
Rudy Gobert	82	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-8	12	15.2	13.1	2.17	14.8	13.1	1.77
Julius Randle	87	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-6	8	14.9	14.8	0.11	14.4	15.9	-1.46
Anthony Edwards	97	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.9	0.0	14.90	14.6	0.0	14.59
Jaden McDaniels	53	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	-2	0	14.9	14.8	0.10	15.1	14.0	1.05
Naz Reid	87	86	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	9	-22	15.1	13.0	2.11	14.8	13.0	1.81
Bones Hyland	85	84	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.38	-13	9	-22	15.1	13.3	1.78	14.8	13.5	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.54,0.46,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 122, MEM 114	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.41,0.46,0.14,0.22,0.03,0.02,0	90.7%
MIA 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.04,0	90.6%
NYK 105, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.26,0.05,0.06,0.02,0	90.5%