NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	7.2 [279]		MVP	Gary Payton II (GSW): +13.1%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	32.3 [18]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (PHX): -15.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton II	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	11	68%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	9	78%	0.31	4	-0.19	5	60%	-0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.01	0.12	0.01	14	53%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Pat Spencer	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	11	83%	0.20	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.02	1	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Will Richard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quinten Post	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	17	58%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	12	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.15	-0.00	24	47%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.0	25.5	0.0	29.9	0.0	32.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.6%

GSW +9.4%

GSW +30.7%

PHX -20.1%

PHX -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	14.2	111.0	107.8	113.5
season	14.7	14.1		113.1	113.1
opponent	14.6	13.6		111.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.0	18.5	16.7	15.0	16.3
PHX	16.2	14.3	13.9	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton II	74	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	15.6	19.0	-3.38	16.0	13.6	2.39
Moses Moody	82	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-2	8	15.7	21.1	-5.39	16.1	10.7	5.43
Al Horford	90	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-2	8	16.4	1.0	15.42	15.5	20.0	-4.53
De'Anthony Melton	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-1	6	15.0	20.0	-5.07	16.4	13.0	3.33
Draymond Green	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	15.3	18.5	-3.25	16.9	12.5	4.39
Pat Spencer	85	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-2	8	16.6	11.5	5.09	15.8	12.2	3.60
Gui Santos	89	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	0	4	16.5	3.5	13.04	15.6	10.0	5.65
Quinten Post	45	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	16.7	15.8	0.82	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Will Richard	77	76	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.20	1	3	-2	16.9	12.9	4.01	15.5	15.6	-0.14
Brandin Podziemski	41	40	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.05	-15	19	-34	16.8	15.8	0.96	15.8	15.3	0.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaree Bouyea	68	69	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.17	8	-12	20	15.5	15.7	-0.27	15.8	17.5	-1.70
Ryan Dunn	60	62	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.12	7	-11	18	15.4	15.7	-0.22	16.2	16.4	-0.29
Royce O'Neale	66	67	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.14	5	-9	14	15.8	14.7	1.17	16.2	16.3	-0.11
Jordan Goodwin	72	72	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.26	0	-4	4	15.6	15.1	0.58	16.4	15.5	0.92
Grayson Allen	79	80	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.22	0	-4	4	15.3	17.2	-1.89	16.9	11.8	5.04
Mark Williams	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	0	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.08	16.5	16.0	0.48
Isaiah Livers	6	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	4	-12	17.0	15.4	1.58	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Collin Gillespie	90	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.5	0.0	15.52	16.3	0.0	16.25
Oso Ighodaro	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	15.9	13.1	2.86	15.6	20.1	-4.46
Dillon Brooks	81	82	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	7	-18	15.8	12.9	2.93	16.4	14.8	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.68,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	90.6%
ATL 120, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.47,0.72,0.84,0.58,0	90.6%
SAC 95, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.42,0	90.5%