NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	135		Excitement	7.7 [233]		MVP	Naji Marshall (DAL): +28.7%
Dallas Mavericks	123		Comeback	1.5 [599]		LVP	Ryan Nembhard (DAL): -12.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.10	-0.01	7	106%	0.35	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Victor Wembanyama	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.04	14	81%	0.25	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.08	0.02	13	67%	0.22	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.04	16	53%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	12	46%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jordan McLaughlin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Harper	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carter Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.09	-0.00	21	70%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	27	57%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	15	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Miles Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Moussa Cisse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	9	28%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.0	26.7	0.0	24.9	0.0	37.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.7%

SAS +13.6%

SAS +12.3%

DAL -15.3%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	12.3	14.6	14.2	126.2	115.0	113.5
season	13.8	13.8		115.8	109.2
opponent	14.0	14.5		112.5	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.2	11.9	12.1	11.9	12.3
DAL	13.3	15.2	16.7	13.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Vassell	88	88	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-5	22	12.6	10.6	2.02	14.8	13.7	1.04
Victor Wembanyama	85	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-2	16	12.3	12.2	0.08	15.2	12.3	2.91
Harrison Barnes	98	99	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-1	14	12.6	8.7	3.96	14.4	16.7	-2.34
De'Aaron Fox	107	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	12.3	0.0	12.29	14.6	0.0	14.59
Stephon Castle	88	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-1	14	12.5	11.4	1.06	14.9	13.1	1.80
Keldon Johnson	91	91	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	6	0	12.4	11.4	1.00	14.5	15.2	-0.78
Carter Bryant	88	89	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	5	2	12.3	12.1	0.22	15.0	12.7	2.24
Dylan Harper	94	92	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	9	-6	12.4	11.5	0.86	15.0	12.0	3.01
Julian Champagnie	79	77	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	9	-6	12.6	11.4	1.21	15.2	12.9	2.30
Jordan McLaughlin	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	16	-20	15.2	12.1	3.20	13.7	14.7	-0.91

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Kelly	58	58	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-22	32	14.9	14.3	0.60	13.2	11.2	1.97
Caleb Martin	74	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-8	4	15.5	12.6	2.87	12.5	11.9	0.59
Ryan Nembhard	79	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-9	6	15.0	13.4	1.62	12.4	11.9	0.54
Moussa Cisse	68	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	14.8	14.3	0.52	12.8	11.4	1.34
Dwight Powell	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-4	-4	16.4	14.3	2.10	11.6	12.4	-0.78
Daniel Gafford	104	105	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-2	-8	14.6	14.0	0.61	12.3	13.5	-1.23
Naji Marshall	99	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	14.4	16.7	-2.34	12.6	8.7	3.96
Max Christie	91	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	1	-14	14.6	14.6	-0.04	12.6	10.3	2.35
Klay Thompson	93	94	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	0	-12	14.5	15.1	-0.64	12.3	11.9	0.42
Cooper Flagg	99	99	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	2	-16	15.0	9.1	5.91	12.3	12.1	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.38,0.1,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, POR 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.04,0.01,0	92.5%
POR 100, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.03,0	92.2%
CHI 105, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.2,0.04,0.15,0.08,0	92.1%