NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	131		Excitement	7.0 [438]		MVP	Quenton Jackson (IND): +31.1%
Indiana Pacers	122		Comeback	2.4 [580]		LVP	Jarace Walker (IND): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.11	-0.00	9	100%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.11	-0.02	14	71%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.26	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.13	-0.02	19	61%	0.26	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ace Bailey	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Cody Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Collier	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.08	-0.03	16	42%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Kyle Filipowski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.11	0.03	10	92%	0.31	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Ethan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	8	65%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Taelon Peter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Kam Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	7	53%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	17	56%	0.06	8	-0.20	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	24.4	14.3	27.2	2.2	27.5	122.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.5%

IND -3.7%

IND -5.5%

UTA +24.3%

IND -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	13.3	14.2	124.8	114.0	113.5
season	13.9	13.8		111.5	108.9
opponent	14.2	13.6		117.0	119.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	12.9	14.2	12.9	13.9
IND	12.6	15.3	14.0	11.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ace Bailey	88	87	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-4	17	14.0	12.9	1.09	13.7	11.3	2.39
Brice Sensabaugh	101	103	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-4	17	13.9	13.5	0.37	13.2	14.7	-1.52
Cody Williams	105	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.9	0.0	13.86	13.3	0.0	13.29
Isaiah Collier	105	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.9	0.0	13.86	13.3	0.0	13.29
Kyle Filipowski	105	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.9	0.0	13.86	13.3	0.0	13.29
Svi Mykhailiuk	75	79	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	14.3	12.8	1.48	13.7	12.2	1.46
Lauri Markkanen	63	65	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	3	3	14.1	13.5	0.63	14.4	11.5	2.95

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ethan Thompson	70	68	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-11	13	13.1	13.7	-0.59	14.8	12.2	2.62
Jay Huff	64	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	2	-13	14.3	11.7	2.58	14.3	13.3	0.98
Ben Sheppard	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.9	11.5	2.37	13.7	14.4	-0.66
Jarace Walker	101	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	13.7	6.5	7.19	14.0	11.5	2.45
Quenton Jackson	107	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.3	0.0	13.29	13.9	0.0	13.86
Isaiah Jackson	100	99	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	2	-13	13.4	11.0	2.45	14.0	12.0	1.97
Taelon Peter	92	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	5	-19	13.7	11.1	2.59	14.0	13.1	0.88
Johnny Furphy	89	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	6	-21	14.2	8.9	5.22	14.1	12.8	1.30
Kam Jones	89	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	13.8	10.8	2.95	13.8	14.2	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 81, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.5%
SAS 114, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.38,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.26,0.16,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.5%
GSW 84, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0	93.4%