NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	6.3 [564]		MVP	Collin Sexton (CHA): +22.2%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	2.0 [340]		LVP	Sion James (CHA): -7.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dylan Harper	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	13	77%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Devin Vassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Castle	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	11	57%	0.12	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Julian Champagnie	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.05	0.03	7	87%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	13	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luke Kornet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.00	0.00	8	117%	0.27	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.00	12	52%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	21	51%	0.15	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	15	46%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	31.1	13.3	24.1	1.4	41.0	141.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +10.4%

CHA +11.2%

CHA +31.2%

SAS -5.2%

CHA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHA	NBA	SAS	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	16.6	14.2	111.6	115.6	113.5
season	13.8	15.1		117.7	116.9
opponent	14.1	14.6		112.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	13.8	12.8	13.0	13.6
CHA	16.4	13.9	17.2	19.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	79	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-14	23	13.6	13.5	0.07	17.2	13.1	4.19
Devin Vassell	71	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-9	13	13.5	13.6	-0.09	17.2	14.6	2.61
Julian Champagnie	72	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	4	-13	14.0	12.2	1.83	16.6	16.5	0.07
Stephon Castle	83	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	13.9	11.0	2.93	16.9	13.4	3.52
Dylan Harper	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	6	-17	13.8	12.7	1.09	15.7	20.1	-4.43
Keldon Johnson	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	8	-21	14.0	11.4	2.63	15.8	20.1	-4.29
Victor Wembanyama	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	3	-11	14.1	11.2	2.95	17.1	14.1	3.00
Luke Kornet	94	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	13.6	9.0	4.61	16.9	0.5	16.39
De'Aaron Fox	93	93	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	1	-7	13.5	16.5	-3.01	16.9	4.7	12.27

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Miller	85	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-5	15	16.9	13.7	3.19	13.6	13.5	0.07
Moussa Diabat�	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-6	17	16.8	15.4	1.37	14.1	10.6	3.50
Miles Bridges	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	16.7	15.8	0.89	13.8	12.6	1.18
LaMelo Ball	89	88	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	16.7	14.7	1.98	13.7	11.3	2.45
Josh Green	69	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-7	19	15.8	18.6	-2.79	13.9	12.6	1.30
Grant Williams	81	80	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-2	9	16.3	17.9	-1.64	14.0	11.4	2.56
Kon Knueppel	90	88	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	10	-15	16.9	11.2	5.74	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Sion James	89	87	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	10	-15	17.1	9.7	7.38	13.6	13.6	-0.07
Ryan Kalkbrenner	62	61	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	11	-17	16.8	16.1	0.67	13.7	13.3	0.46
Collin Sexton	76	76	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	18	-31	17.4	13.5	3.86	13.9	12.4	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 77, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.52,0.55,0.76,0.98,1	91.7%
NOP 111, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	91.6%
BOS 92, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	91.5%