NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	125		Excitement	9.9 [79]		MVP	Ayo Dosunmu (CHI): +68.8%
Miami Heat	118		Comeback	3.8 [164]		LVP	Nikola Jovi? (MIA): -13.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0.69	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.57,0.69,0.69	0.16	0.52	-0.02	16	83%	0.85	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.05
Yuki Kawamura	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,0.1	-0.05	0.16	0.00	15	62%	0.29	8	-0.19	4	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.02	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Lachlan Olbrich	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.06	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.4,0.4,0.39	0.39	0.13	0.24	-0.01	11	76%	0.43	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,0.24,0.24	0.24	-0.04	0.26	-0.01	16	49%	0.36	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.06
Myron Gardner	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.03	18	47%	0.13	3	-0.22	9	67%	-0.04
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	16	56%	0.04	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.3	31.4	13.6	30.2	0.0	42.3	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +88.5%

MIA -25.3%

MIA -18.5%

CHI +4.4%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIA	NBA	CHI	MIA	NBA
this game	12.7	12.3	14.2	109.6	101.7	113.7
season	13.6	12.9		111.5	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.0	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.2	12.7	13.6	13.5	12.7
MIA	13.4	11.3	13.1	11.4	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lachlan Olbrich	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-11	29	12.4	13.0	-0.59	13.3	11.3	1.98
Julian Phillips	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-9	25	12.8	12.7	0.13	12.9	11.4	1.56
Dalen Terry	111	114	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	13.0	3.3	9.66	12.3	10.0	2.31
Ayo Dosunmu	106	108	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	12.6	14.0	-1.36	12.2	12.5	-0.25
Jevon Carter	92	92	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-1	9	12.7	13.1	-0.44	12.7	10.8	1.86
Yuki Kawamura	62	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	13.2	12.2	0.93	12.4	12.1	0.23
Matas Buzelis	95	96	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	6	-5	13.0	11.2	1.83	11.9	14.1	-2.27
Isaac Okoro	94	96	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.19	-1	8	-9	13.2	10.5	2.71	11.8	14.3	-2.52
Kevin Huerter	82	84	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	13.5	10.9	2.59	12.0	13.0	-1.06
Patrick Williams	88	91	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	12	-17	13.1	11.5	1.60	11.6	14.6	-2.97

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	84	81	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-11	15	12.0	13.1	-1.10	12.9	12.4	0.48
Myron Gardner	72	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-6	5	11.9	12.8	-0.92	13.3	11.8	1.43
Kel'el Ware	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	13.5	11.9	1.64	10.4	13.4	-3.04
Pelle Larsson	93	90	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	11.8	14.0	-2.16	13.3	10.6	2.68
Andrew Wiggins	107	104	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-4	1	12.2	12.9	-0.67	12.7	13.0	-0.29
Nikola Jovi?	78	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	1	-9	12.6	11.6	1.02	12.3	13.7	-1.43
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	116	114	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.3	0.0	12.27	12.7	0.0	12.74
Bam Adebayo	116	114	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.3	0.0	12.27	12.7	0.0	12.74
Simone Fontecchio	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	7	-21	12.8	11.2	1.60	13.2	11.8	1.42
Dru Smith	97	96	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.28	-13	6	-19	12.5	11.3	1.20	13.1	10.9	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.45,0.23,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.27,0	91.8%
BOS 98, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.07,0,0	90.5%
PHX 75, DEN 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.26,0	90.4%