inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 123 Excitement10.3 [60] MVPKon Knueppel (CHA): +64.0%
Dallas Mavericks 121 Comeback2.4 [497] LVPMiles Bridges (CHA): -30.3%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kon Knueppel0.640,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.640.330.350.031689%0.6400.006100%0.13
Brandon Miller0.450,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.440.190.280.021372%0.4400.006100%0.04
LaMelo Ball0.280,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.28,0.280.080.18-0.011765%0.333-0.0600%0.00
Moussa Diabaté0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.120.040.100.01956%0.1200.0000%0.00
Collin Sexton0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.06-0.011040%0.0700.0000%0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01262%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Josh Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01250%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Tidjane Salaün-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01250%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Sion James-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Miles Bridges-0.300,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3-0.04-0.27-0.011747%-0.113-0.192100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cooper Flagg0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.470.470.350.120.002977%0.722-0.256100%0.03
Max Christie0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.12,0.13,0.130.13-0.020.15-0.001543%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.011065%0.151-0.053100%0.02
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.001553%0.0800.0000%0.00
Moussa Cisse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.04-0.00150%0.0400.00475%0.01
Dwight Powell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaden Hardy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01450%-0.011-0.02250%-0.04
Ryan Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
P.J. Washington0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011936%-0.091-0.021100%0.01
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.090.01650%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.70.029.80.027.40.035.60.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +29.1%
CHA +31.5%
DAL -16.2%
CHA +4.2%
CHA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADALNBACHADALNBA
this game14.613.714.2120.6119.8113.7
season15.013.9117.3109.6
opponent14.014.1115.0111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA13.914.714.115.814.6
DAL15.313.013.613.013.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moussa Diabaté88870.78-0.281.070.3415-132814.813.31.5413.912.41.56
Miles Bridges86870.69-0.190.890.497-51214.714.10.6614.011.82.23
Sion James95940.52-0.020.540.298-61414.910.74.1913.614.7-1.09
Collin Sexton78770.470.030.440.1212-102214.614.7-0.1713.713.7-0.01
Kon Knueppel95950.470.030.430.4411014.812.32.5013.811.72.16
LaMelo Ball87860.440.060.390.4402-214.515.2-0.6813.514.7-1.21
Ryan Kalkbrenner90880.290.210.090.068-61414.813.61.1714.012.01.95
Brandon Miller82810.270.230.050.106-41014.813.90.8914.012.61.38
Tidjane Salaün59580.200.30-0.09-0.038-61414.015.5-1.5114.113.20.94
Josh Green6969-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-24-614.514.8-0.2513.913.20.71

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden Hardy13130.08-0.580.66-0.075-71212.213.9-1.7814.114.7-0.62
Ryan Nembhard2524-0.06-0.440.39-0.112-4613.513.8-0.2414.814.60.28
Dwight Powell1415-0.14-0.360.220.06-75-1215.513.42.0913.314.8-1.51
Moussa Cisse8585-0.19-0.310.130.02-75-1213.912.71.2114.614.6-0.04
Brandon Williams9495-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-31-414.09.94.1314.516.6-2.10
Caleb Martin9494-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-1013.910.63.3614.812.12.70
Klay Thompson101101-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-20-213.70.013.7014.711.03.65
P.J. Washington101101-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-20-213.70.013.7014.711.03.65
Daniel Gafford8989-0.660.16-0.82-0.34-119-2013.813.10.7014.713.90.80
Cooper Flagg9797-0.660.16-0.82-0.49-64-1013.616.5-2.9114.516.2-1.66
Max Christie8785-0.710.21-0.93-0.51-75-1214.011.82.2314.813.90.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.23,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 98, NJN 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.47,090.8%
PHX 87, BOS 800.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,090.1%
MIN 96, HOU 910.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.26,090.1%