inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 111 Excitement6.1 [391] MVPJaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA): +22.6%
Phoenix Suns 102 Comeback1.2 [319] LVPJordan Goodwin (PHX): -20.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.130.100.011177%0.262-0.04475%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.070,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.021655%0.091-0.028100%0.04
Nikola Jovi?0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.011050%0.0500.00450%-0.02
Dru Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.01869%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00558%0.0400.002100%0.01
Myron Gardner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.010100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Simone Fontecchio-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02125%-0.021-0.00250%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.001242%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Norman Powell-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.04-0.042135%-0.072-0.034100%0.02
Pelle Larsson-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.04-0.020.07948%-0.053-0.07367%0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Livers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.070.004112%0.1700.0000%0.00
Mark Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.060.00669%0.151-0.02475%-0.00
Dillon Brooks0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.09-0.010.042354%0.0400.002100%0.01
Oso Ighodaro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00550%0.0200.0020%-0.02
Khaman Maluach0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Rasheer Fleming0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nigel Hayes-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Dunn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamaree Bouyea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.01636%-0.022-0.05250%-0.02
Collin Gillespie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.020.041246%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Grayson Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.05-0.001839%-0.061-0.031090%0.03
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.020.021033%-0.062-0.054100%0.01
Jordan Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.070.02714%-0.152-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game36.51.431.28.431.61.732.7143.5
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.1%
MIA +6.4%
MIA +6.9%
MIA +8.9%
MIA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHXNBAMIAPHXNBA
this game13.514.514.2105.7101.0113.5
season12.814.1113.3113.1
opponent14.614.5111.7110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.612.814.514.213.5
PHX14.013.914.915.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell94910.50-0.000.510.2490913.612.01.6414.216.6-2.36
Jaime Jaquez Jr.1051010.500.000.500.2490913.50.013.4714.50.014.48
Bam Adebayo89870.440.060.380.1790913.513.10.4014.315.8-1.52
Simone Fontecchio71670.360.140.210.0012-31513.613.20.3415.013.51.43
Dru Smith87830.260.240.020.2318-714.010.93.1114.713.61.12
Pelle Larsson92880.260.240.010.37-413-1713.811.42.3814.017.6-3.60
Myron Gardner25230.210.29-0.07-0.0810-11112.813.7-0.8813.714.7-1.01
Andrew Wiggins60580.160.34-0.180.0736-313.413.6-0.2313.615.6-1.97
Nikola Jovi?74720.040.46-0.420.07-110-1113.114.3-1.1214.215.1-0.88
Kasparas Jaku?ionis6159-0.010.51-0.520.08-312-1513.513.5-0.0213.915.2-1.31

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Williams5859-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-121513.815.3-1.5213.613.30.37
Isaiah Livers5757-0.13-0.370.25-0.130-9914.814.10.7213.113.9-0.83
Nigel Hayes-Davis2425-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.18-4-5115.214.21.0214.213.20.91
Rasheer Fleming2425-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.18-4-5115.214.21.0214.213.20.91
Khaman Maluach2425-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.18-4-5115.214.21.0214.213.20.91
Oso Ighodaro8184-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.07-123-1514.514.30.2213.214.4-1.14
Grayson Allen8487-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.08-123-1514.514.10.4313.513.40.09
Jamaree Bouyea7478-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-101-1114.713.90.8013.712.80.93
Jordan Goodwin96100-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.04-156-2114.88.66.1813.317.6-4.34
Dillon Brooks9296-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-178-2514.811.63.2113.315.4-2.16
Collin Gillespie9397-0.540.04-0.57-0.04-178-2514.712.42.2813.217.1-3.96
Royce O'Neale8284-0.550.05-0.61-0.03-189-2714.614.10.4613.115.0-1.92
Ryan Dunn7679-0.560.06-0.61-0.15-145-1914.514.5-0.0113.314.0-0.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 111, BOS 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,094.3%
PHX 114, LAL 1040.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,094.1%
NYK 100, NJN 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,094.0%