inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 104 Excitement7.4 [266] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +19.7%
San Antonio Spurs 95 Comeback3.5 [113] LVPYves Missi (NOP): -13.0%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.20.090.10-0.011859%0.211-0.01580%-0.00
Trey Murphy III0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.070.13-0.042238%0.131-0.0310%-0.02
Saddiq Bey0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.14-0.000.051562%0.0900.00978%-0.02
Jose Alvarado0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.01560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Herbert Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.011045%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Karlo Matkovi?-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeremiah Fears-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02944%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Micah Peavy-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Derik Queen-0.120,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.04729%0.014-0.1300%0.00
Yves Missi-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13-0.03-0.10-0.001142%-0.051-0.082100%0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.06-0.001248%0.081-0.01333%-0.04
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.02-0.061642%0.063-0.03633%-0.08
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.010.02954%0.0200.006100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.020.00283%0.0200.002100%0.01
Carter Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dylan Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02638%0.031-0.031100%0.01
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00542%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.050.021254%-0.0200.00450%-0.05
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.020.02860%0.184-0.21425%0.04
Stephon Castle0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.02631%-0.022-0.05475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.329.012.328.50.234.9131.8
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +7.8%
SAS -1.1%
NOP +41.4%
NOP +4.1%
SAS -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPSASNBANOPSASNBA
this game16.213.714.2106.1101.1113.5
season14.213.8111.3115.8
opponent14.514.1110.5117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP16.715.517.015.616.2
SAS13.015.813.013.113.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Saddiq Bey90860.52-0.020.530.2590916.314.51.8213.911.42.54
Zion Williamson96920.51-0.010.530.2590916.38.57.8313.714.5-0.82
Trey Murphy III96920.500.000.500.2490916.213.03.2413.87.06.85
Yves Missi97940.490.010.480.2390916.33.013.3113.70.013.70
Herbert Jones67640.350.150.200.1281715.817.0-1.2114.312.32.01
Jeremiah Fears64640.280.220.070.0581716.415.80.5413.713.60.15
Micah Peavy74730.150.35-0.190.0636-316.914.12.7713.813.30.54
Derik Queen4949-0.200.70-0.91-0.09-413-1715.716.7-1.0014.113.30.79
Jose Alvarado7169-0.440.94-1.37-0.14-1019-2916.515.31.2113.314.7-1.33
Karlo Matkovi?7067-0.541.04-1.59-0.13-1423-3716.415.70.6913.414.5-1.09

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kornet78800.44-0.941.390.1211-203113.415.0-1.5616.315.50.83
Harrison Barnes55580.22-0.720.930.30-3-6314.113.11.0215.816.7-0.93
Dylan Harper63650.07-0.570.650.041-101113.514.1-0.5416.415.60.81
Devin Vassell88910.05-0.550.600.050-9913.713.00.7516.215.30.96
Carter Bryant2424-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-4-113.013.9-0.8917.015.91.04
De'Aaron Fox8689-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.260-9913.416.7-3.3316.216.00.19
Julian Champagnie6164-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.12-7-2-514.013.10.9915.916.8-0.91
Victor Wembanyama8185-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-8-1-714.111.22.9615.918.1-2.19
Stephon Castle7276-0.520.02-0.54-0.11-145-1914.112.51.5716.216.2-0.07
Keldon Johnson8792-0.530.03-0.55-0.11-145-1914.010.13.8516.018.2-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.54,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 110, CHH 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.23,0.27,090.5%
GSW 105, DEN 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.17,0.05,090.0%
CLE 100, ATL 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,089.7%