NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	115		Excitement	1.9 [437]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +11.5%
Charlotte Hornets	119		Comeback	1.4 [1117]		LVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): -8.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Sarr	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.04	0.03	19	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Bub Carrington	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	83%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Riley	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	1	150%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.03	22	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	15	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	65%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Brandon Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	12	72%	0.20	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Kon Knueppel	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.01	19	51%	0.13	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	79%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	150%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.00	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	0.1	32.0	13.5	26.0	1.3	30.9	128.4
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +35.5%

CHA +9.5%

CHA +17.0%

WAS -13.5%

CHA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	13.0	15.5	14.2	111.7	120.2	113.4
season	13.9	15.1		108.7	116.9
opponent	14.1	13.9		112.6	120.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	12.5	13.3	12.8	13.0
CHA	13.4	14.3	18.0	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharife Cooper	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-7	10	12.9	13.1	-0.22	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Malaki Branham	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-7	10	12.8	13.2	-0.40	16.7	14.8	1.90
Anthony Gill	74	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	13.4	12.1	1.30	15.9	14.3	1.65
Justin Champagnie	92	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-4	4	13.1	12.9	0.15	15.9	11.6	4.32
Alex Sarr	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	2	-8	13.3	12.0	1.25	15.6	15.1	0.52
Bub Carrington	98	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	13.3	7.8	5.51	15.1	23.0	-7.91
Tre Johnson	99	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	1	-6	13.3	6.5	6.80	15.3	22.0	-6.72
Jamir Watkins	102	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.1	2.0	11.15	15.5	0.0	15.48
Kyshawn George	75	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	13	-30	13.3	12.5	0.79	15.1	16.6	-1.57
Will Riley	85	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.19	-16	12	-28	13.8	9.2	4.62	15.6	14.9	0.65

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabat�	83	86	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-12	28	15.6	14.9	0.65	13.7	9.6	4.06
Miles Bridges	77	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-10	24	15.9	14.0	1.91	13.8	10.7	3.09
Brandon Miller	87	91	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	15.4	15.8	-0.40	13.7	8.2	5.42
LaMelo Ball	77	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-8	20	16.2	13.0	3.25	13.9	10.2	3.64
Grant Williams	84	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-11	26	14.7	19.9	-5.24	13.2	12.4	0.75
Kon Knueppel	99	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.5	0.0	15.48	13.0	0.0	13.04
Sion James	91	93	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-1	6	15.8	12.2	3.52	13.3	10.2	3.14
Ryan Kalkbrenner	78	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-8	20	14.9	17.7	-2.83	13.2	12.5	0.72
Josh Green	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-3	10	15.4	15.6	-0.25	14.5	10.5	3.94
Collin Sexton	82	84	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-1	6	15.1	17.3	-2.18	13.0	13.0	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	94.5%
MIL 96, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MIA 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%