NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	10.9 [28]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +35.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	128		Comeback	11.0 [104]		LVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): -26.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	21	75%	0.41	8	-0.29	6	83%	0.02
Amen Thompson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.02	11	63%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	52%	0.17	1	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03
Reed Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	14	48%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	15	41%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	0.01	14	37%	-0.17	2	-0.10	7	29%	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.13,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.29,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.24	0.01	28	60%	0.45	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.04	0.02	14	84%	0.28	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	0.00	9	56%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.06	-0.00	19	64%	0.27	5	-0.25	12	92%	0.07
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	0.1	33.6	0.0	42.4	0.0	29.6	0.0	10.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +41.1%

PHI +26.4%

HOU -22.2%

PHI +12.7%

HOU -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	14.2	113.0	124.3	113.6
season	15.4	14.6		117.3	113.6
opponent	13.8	13.9		112.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.6	14.1	16.8	16.9	15.2	15.7
PHI	15.6	11.6	15.1	15.3	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	70	69	0.55	-1.05	1.61	0.26	10	-16	26	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.9	13.4	1.55
Dorian Finney-Smith	76	73	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-14	22	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.1	12.8	2.24
Clint Capela	75	73	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-10	14	16.2	14.4	1.82	14.7	13.7	1.01
Reed Sheppard	85	82	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-11	16	16.1	14.2	1.88	14.5	14.0	0.52
Amen Thompson	107	101	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.6	27.0	-11.45	14.5	10.0	4.50
Jabari Smith Jr.	92	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Tari Eason	108	103	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.45	-6	0	-6	15.7	0.0	15.66	14.4	0.0	14.42
Kevin Durant	99	94	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	8	-22	16.0	11.7	4.35	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Alperen Sengun	99	94	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.36	-14	8	-22	16.0	11.7	4.35	14.4	14.8	-0.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	94	99	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-8	22	14.4	14.8	-0.39	16.0	11.7	4.35
Kelly Oubre Jr.	100	105	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-1	8	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.7	12.7	3.08
VJ Edgecombe	84	88	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	14.3	14.7	-0.39	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Tyrese Maxey	103	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.4	0.0	14.42	15.7	0.0	15.66
Paul George	76	79	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	9	-12	14.9	13.0	1.87	15.9	15.0	0.85
Dominick Barlow	71	76	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	4	-2	13.9	15.5	-1.62	15.4	16.3	-0.98
Trendon Watford	33	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	7	-8	13.2	15.0	-1.73	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Adem Bona	64	68	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	15	-24	14.3	14.6	-0.32	15.8	15.5	0.29
Quentin Grimes	69	71	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.08	-13	19	-32	14.7	13.9	0.71	15.7	15.5	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.57,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.5,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.84,0.73,1	90.0%
MIL 75, DAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.89,0.99,1	89.2%
IND 100, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.16,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.96,1	89.1%