NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	112		Excitement	1.6 [613]		MVP	Micah Peavy (NOP): +14.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	104		Comeback	1.0 [1192]		LVP	Jordan Poole (NOP): -17.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	11	71%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Ronald Holland II	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Duncan Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ausar Thompson	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniss Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	55%	0.04	5	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	38%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micah Peavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	11	77%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Karlo Matkovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zion Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	31%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Murphy III	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	19	41%	-0.03	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.10	0.06	12	57%	-0.03	3	-0.10	11	100%	0.05
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	17	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.6	29.1	14.3	27.0	0.0	28.8	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +50.7%

NOP -8.0%

DET +7.6%

NOP -1.2%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOP	NBA	DET	NOP	NBA
this game	14.8	13.1	14.2	108.7	102.0	113.4
season	14.2	14.0		114.8	112.2
opponent	14.1	14.4		116.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.7	13.6	16.0	17.8	14.8
NOP	10.8	13.1	14.0	15.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ausar Thompson	88	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-9	26	14.8	14.7	0.06	13.2	12.8	0.41
Duncan Robinson	86	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-12	32	14.7	15.2	-0.54	13.3	12.2	1.09
Jalen Duren	93	92	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	14.8	14.2	0.65	13.2	12.8	0.38
Tobias Harris	103	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.8	0.0	14.79	13.1	0.0	13.15
Daniss Jenkins	66	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-2	12	15.1	14.3	0.81	13.4	12.8	0.61
Ronald Holland II	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-3	14	13.9	17.3	-3.35	13.2	12.9	0.30
Jaden Ivey	83	83	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	14.3	16.9	-2.62	13.0	13.9	-0.92
Javonte Green	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	1	6	16.0	14.2	1.86	15.5	12.0	3.41
Marcus Sasser	93	93	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	3	2	14.4	18.5	-4.11	13.0	15.0	-2.03
Isaiah Stewart	82	82	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	4	0	14.3	16.7	-2.36	13.2	12.9	0.25

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karlo Matkovi?	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	12.2	14.5	-2.30	13.8	16.1	-2.24
Kevon Looney	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	14.7	12.4	2.25	15.5	14.4	1.07
Zion Williamson	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	2	-12	12.1	14.7	-2.64	13.2	17.1	-3.92
Jeremiah Fears	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	6	-20	12.4	14.4	-2.01	13.8	16.6	-2.78
Bryce McGowens	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	0	-8	14.3	12.3	2.08	15.1	14.6	0.53
Derik Queen	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	8	-24	12.7	14.1	-1.37	13.4	17.6	-4.23
Jordan Poole	93	93	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	0	-8	13.4	10.4	2.96	15.1	12.1	2.98
Yves Missi	102	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.1	0.0	13.15	14.8	0.0	14.79
Micah Peavy	87	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	3	-14	13.4	11.9	1.42	14.8	14.7	0.12
Trey Murphy III	98	98	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	3	-14	13.0	16.2	-3.23	14.8	13.8	1.04
Saddiq Bey	83	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	7	-22	13.0	13.8	-0.85	14.5	15.8	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 136, WAS 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.6%
MIN 95, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 97, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%