inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 112 Excitement1.6 [678] MVPBuddy Hield (GSW): +12.8%
Golden State Warriors 135 Comeback1.9 [851] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -22.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kel'el Ware0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.011075%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Dru Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00283%0.0400.002100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.03-0.021456%0.093-0.064100%0.02
Simone Fontecchio0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.011154%0.082-0.05250%-0.01
Pelle Larsson0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00750%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Myron Gardner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovi?0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norman Powell-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.010.031655%0.093-0.10683%0.01
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02350%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.00644%-0.022-0.054100%0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011242%0.014-0.1000%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.220,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.17-0.07-0.011314%-0.211-0.012100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.010.04989%0.1300.0000%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.02-0.01962%0.1200.00367%-0.01
Quinten Post0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.01794%0.163-0.08250%-0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.010.011368%0.143-0.092100%0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.020.071959%0.082-0.053100%0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.010.00956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Richard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00550%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00475%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jimmy Butler III0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.020.021163%0.092-0.065100%0.03
Malevy Leons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
LJ Cryer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.000.06387%-0.0000.0020%-0.03
Pat Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.71.227.215.231.01.425.1129.9
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +60.7%
MIA -5.0%
MIA -17.5%
GSW +10.6%
GSW +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAGSWNBAMIAGSWNBA
this game12.514.414.2104.7126.2113.4
season12.914.7114.9112.8
opponent13.814.5113.6112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.213.111.911.812.5
GSW11.213.614.419.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myron Gardner2323-0.10-0.400.300.25-12-11-111.812.7-0.9319.513.06.55
Keshad Johnson2323-0.10-0.400.300.25-12-11-111.812.7-0.9319.513.06.55
Nikola Jovi?2323-0.10-0.400.300.25-12-11-111.812.7-0.9319.513.06.55
Dru Smith6463-0.22-0.280.050.28-17-6-1113.011.71.3314.913.71.15
Pelle Larsson7675-0.31-0.19-0.130.18-17-6-1112.612.30.2714.514.20.32
Davion Mitchell8079-0.34-0.16-0.190.24-20-3-1712.911.41.5314.214.9-0.64
Andrew Wiggins8079-0.34-0.16-0.190.24-20-3-1712.911.41.5314.214.9-0.64
Bam Adebayo8079-0.34-0.16-0.190.24-20-3-1712.911.41.5314.214.9-0.64
Kel'el Ware7677-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.17-9-14512.712.00.7713.915.7-1.78
Kasparas Jaku?ionis8482-0.49-0.01-0.480.16-22-1-2112.313.1-0.7914.713.41.34
Norman Powell9999-0.500.00-0.500.20-241-2512.98.04.8814.019.4-5.40
Jaime Jaquez Jr.9393-0.520.02-0.54-0.14-13-10-312.711.11.6613.818.1-4.24
Simone Fontecchio9897-0.580.08-0.660.09-230-2312.89.03.8414.216.1-1.89

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford98990.56-0.060.62-0.2026-32914.117.2-3.1012.98.04.88
Will Richard95960.53-0.030.56-0.2025-22714.116.7-2.6713.26.86.35
Moses Moody1011000.490.010.48-0.071941514.216.7-2.4212.87.75.14
Stephen Curry80820.470.030.430.111211113.317.4-4.0912.612.10.51
Pat Spencer95970.450.050.40-0.111941514.811.23.6212.413.8-1.42
Buddy Hield97990.430.070.35-0.162031714.810.24.6113.06.76.23
Quinten Post66660.420.080.340.101112-113.815.4-1.6312.312.8-0.43
Brandin Podziemski95950.400.100.29-0.04158714.613.01.5613.18.14.99
Gary Payton II84850.350.150.210.18617-1114.215.1-0.9012.711.61.10
Malevy Leons23230.100.40-0.30-0.251211119.513.06.5511.812.7-0.93
LJ Cryer23230.100.40-0.30-0.251211119.513.06.5511.812.7-0.93
Jimmy Butler III67660.080.42-0.340.02221-1913.016.7-3.7812.712.20.48
Trayce Jackson-Davis4444-0.010.51-0.53-0.22716-915.713.52.2412.512.50.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 81, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
GSW 87, WAS 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
DAL 87, MIA 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%