inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 135 Excitement1.5 [712] MVPLaMelo Ball (CHA): +24.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 117 Comeback2.9 [271] LVPGabe Vincent (LAL): -8.2%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMelo Ball0.240,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.190.070.022073%0.242-0.001100%0.02
Miles Bridges0.220,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.020.021389%0.231-0.022100%0.01
Kon Knueppel0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.170.040.021086%0.2000.002100%0.01
Brandon Miller0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.05-0.021959%0.183-0.056100%0.03
Grant Williams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.02-0.00160%0.0400.003100%0.01
Ryan Kalkbrenner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00664%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Moussa Diabaté0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00580%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Tidjane Salaün0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sion James-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.011045%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Collin Sexton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00650%0.002-0.0600%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Don?i?0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.250.010.022666%0.281-0.04743%-0.06
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.10-0.01-0.021072%0.182-0.075100%0.03
LeBron James0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.030.031964%0.163-0.05786%0.01
Deandre Ayton0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.021060%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.02475%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dalton Knecht0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bronny James00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Timme00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01945%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.02437%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Kobe Bufkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.0470%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.428.40.027.50.029.60.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +37.1%
CHA +2.2%
CHA +13.2%
LAL -0.7%
LAL -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHALALNBACHALALNBA
this game15.013.814.2137.8114.7113.4
season15.114.7116.9114.9
opponent14.214.1114.0112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.215.413.816.815.0
LAL13.915.912.413.413.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Green94980.440.060.39-0.031621414.917.2-2.3813.911.52.41
Brandon Miller94980.440.060.39-0.031621414.917.2-2.3813.911.52.41
Miles Bridges84880.400.100.300.02135815.213.81.3814.012.41.61
Moussa Diabaté79820.310.190.11-0.02117415.213.81.4014.112.81.26
LaMelo Ball74780.270.230.04-0.05117415.314.01.2314.112.81.34
Kon Knueppel88910.260.240.02-0.0199014.816.2-1.3714.012.51.52
Sion James94980.250.250.00-0.04108215.111.53.6214.09.74.23
Collin Sexton74770.170.33-0.160.05414-1014.815.6-0.8713.215.6-2.37
Tidjane Salaün21230.100.40-0.30-0.05513-815.714.80.9513.713.8-0.10
Pat Connaughton23250.100.40-0.30-0.10711-416.814.42.3713.414.0-0.60
Grant Williams69720.100.40-0.300.10018-1814.615.8-1.1713.514.6-1.11
Ryan Kalkbrenner69710.050.45-0.390.11-220-2214.615.8-1.1213.215.1-1.89

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarred Vanderbilt7875-0.08-0.420.33-0.02-2-161413.813.70.0814.716.0-1.29
Nick Smith Jr.2523-0.10-0.400.300.10-7-11413.414.0-0.6016.814.42.37
Dalton Knecht2523-0.10-0.400.300.10-7-11413.414.0-0.6016.814.42.37
Bronny James2321-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-13813.713.8-0.1015.714.80.95
Drew Timme2321-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-13813.713.8-0.1015.714.80.95
Kobe Bufkin8985-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-11413.615.2-1.6215.213.51.65
Marcus Smart7775-0.26-0.24-0.010.04-10-8-214.113.01.0815.314.01.32
Jake LaRavia8481-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.00-13-5-814.112.51.6015.114.11.03
Rui Hachimura8886-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-3-1214.111.92.2714.121.2-7.16
Luka Don?i?9592-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-15-3-1214.110.63.4814.522.0-7.49
Gabe Vincent9189-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.06-13-5-814.111.72.3414.321.9-7.62
Deandre Ayton7976-0.510.01-0.53-0.07-15-3-1214.112.81.2814.715.9-1.15
LeBron James9086-0.550.05-0.600.01-191-2013.813.60.2615.114.20.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 92, NYK 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.5%
MIL 117, CHI 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.7%
ATL 130, WAS 1260.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,093.7%