NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	8.4 [160]		MVP	Tre Jones (CHI): +47.7%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	1.6 [493]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -14.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.48	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.32	0.22	0.06	12	106%	0.53	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Matas Buzelis	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22	0.05	0.13	-0.05	14	59%	0.23	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dalen Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.02	10	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	19	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Patrick Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.16	-0.00	10	77%	0.32	3	-0.05	10	100%	0.08
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	0.00	13	56%	0.25	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	-0.00	18	57%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
JD Davison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	23	56%	0.12	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.4	33.9	11.6	30.0	0.0	32.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.1%

HOU +3.6%

HOU +12.8%

CHI -4.6%

HOU +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.2	116.5	122.7	113.6
season	13.6	15.4		113.6	117.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		111.2	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	14.4	14.8	15.1	14.9
HOU	14.0	15.0	15.2	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalen Terry	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-9	12	16.1	14.6	1.49	13.9	14.9	-1.07
Ayo Dosunmu	66	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	0	-6	15.8	13.0	2.73	15.0	14.4	0.60
Patrick Williams	73	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	14.8	15.1	-0.32	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Isaac Okoro	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	0	-6	15.3	14.2	1.06	14.7	14.8	-0.03
Kevin Huerter	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.9	0.0	14.89	14.8	0.0	14.76
Jalen Smith	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.9	0.0	14.89	14.8	0.0	14.76
Tre Jones	94	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	15.0	12.7	2.29	15.1	3.7	11.45
Nikola Vu?evi?	92	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	15.2	10.0	5.15	14.6	17.7	-3.10
Matas Buzelis	84	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	6	-18	14.8	15.2	-0.31	15.0	13.6	1.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JD Davison	91	90	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	15.1	10.3	4.72	15.1	12.6	2.50
Alperen Sengun	90	91	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	14.7	15.1	-0.41	15.2	9.8	5.39
Amen Thompson	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.8	0.0	14.76	14.9	0.0	14.89
Kevin Durant	91	92	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-4	14	15.1	9.0	6.14	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Josh Okogie	80	82	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	2	2	15.4	11.7	3.71	15.0	14.1	0.89
Jabari Smith Jr.	87	89	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	7	-8	15.2	10.9	4.31	14.8	16.2	-1.49
Jae'Sean Tate	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	7	-8	15.3	14.3	0.96	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Steven Adams	83	83	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	5	-4	15.2	12.0	3.23	15.1	13.5	1.62
Reed Sheppard	85	86	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	14.7	15.3	-0.65	15.0	14.2	0.79
Clint Capela	9	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	13	-20	16.4	14.6	1.85	15.1	14.9	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.92,1	93.5%
PHI 103, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.95,1	92.3%
UTA 84, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.54,0.29,0.45,0.37,0.68,0.92,1	91.6%