NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	123		Excitement	7.7 [330]		MVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): +22.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	1.7 [693]		LVP	Toumani Camara (POR): -8.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.16	0.11	0.05	15	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	15	60%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	74%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.04	0.02	19	63%	0.17	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	36%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mohamed Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.07	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.09	0.01	5	109%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	18	58%	0.15	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.02	17	61%	0.07	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.01	17	57%	0.10	5	-0.18	10	80%	0.01
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	0.2	32.0	13.6	23.0	0.3	33.7	125.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.9%

POR -23.5%

NYK +5.3%

NYK +21.6%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	14.2	123.0	114.0	113.5
season	15.0	13.9		117.8	111.1
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.6	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	14.8	18.2	14.8	15.3
POR	12.4	14.0	13.7	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	95	96	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-3	15	15.0	21.2	-6.20	13.6	10.7	2.83
Jalen Brunson	100	100	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	15.3	0.0	15.31	13.5	0.0	13.47
Miles McBride	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.3	0.0	15.31	13.5	0.0	13.47
Josh Hart	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.3	0.0	15.31	13.5	0.0	13.47
Mitchell Robinson	95	94	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	3	3	15.3	16.0	-0.73	13.8	9.0	4.76
OG Anunoby	79	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	2	5	14.8	17.3	-2.56	13.8	12.0	1.84
Mohamed Diawara	21	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	13.4	15.8	-2.44	12.9	13.6	-0.72
Karl-Anthony Towns	74	74	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	11	-13	15.4	15.2	0.21	13.5	13.3	0.27
Jordan Clarkson	44	43	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	13	-17	16.7	14.2	2.53	14.3	12.8	1.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Williams III	68	69	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.02	7	-16	23	13.0	14.5	-1.56	15.4	15.1	0.31
Rayan Rupert	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-5	1	14.0	13.2	0.73	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Donovan Clingan	94	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	13.8	8.5	5.29	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Shaedon Sharpe	100	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.5	0.0	13.47	15.3	0.0	15.31
Caleb Love	100	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.5	0.0	13.47	15.3	0.0	15.31
Toumani Camara	100	100	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	0	-9	13.5	0.0	13.47	15.3	0.0	15.31
Jrue Holiday	71	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	0	-9	13.9	12.3	1.63	15.9	13.8	2.10
Deni Avdija	86	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.20	-13	4	-17	14.1	9.5	4.62	14.9	17.3	-2.38
Sidy Cissoko	93	92	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	4	-17	13.9	8.3	5.57	14.9	19.7	-4.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.58,0.39,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.1%
WAS 105, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.24,0.12,0.03,0,0	91.7%
ATL 78, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.1,0	91.5%