NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	118		Excitement	7.5 [249]		MVP	Anthony Black (ORL): +29.0%
Orlando Magic	128		Comeback	6.3 [257]		LVP	Micah Peavy (NOP): -7.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.03	-0.07	15	66%	0.20	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Karlo Matkovi?	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	4	110%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zion Williamson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	-0.00	14	67%	0.17	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	87%	0.23	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce McGowens	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.14,0.06,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Micah Peavy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.10	-0.01	10	96%	0.41	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	7	89%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	16	55%	0.18	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Noah Penda	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	56%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.04	18	61%	0.14	3	-0.13	8	100%	0.02
Jamal Cain	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.3	30.9	14.4	29.3	0.0	34.3	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -10.4%

ORL +24.5%

ORL +31.5%

ORL +4.9%

NOP -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.8	14.2	125.5	132.0	113.5
season	14.2	14.1		111.3	112.5
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.4	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.7	14.8	15.4	16.5	15.3
ORL	17.0	12.9	14.6	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micah Peavy	58	60	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.12	8	-18	26	14.8	16.2	-1.49	15.8	13.2	2.58
Jordan Hawkins	41	40	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.07	9	-19	28	15.3	15.4	-0.07	15.2	14.5	0.75
Karlo Matkovi?	81	83	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	15.6	13.9	1.63	15.0	13.6	1.42
Trey Murphy III	92	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-1	-8	15.3	16.5	-1.20	14.9	10.3	4.59
Yves Missi	92	95	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-4	-2	15.5	8.0	7.49	14.9	9.0	5.91
Jordan Poole	88	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	-2	-6	15.6	11.7	3.91	15.1	10.9	4.23
Jeremiah Fears	81	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.22	-14	4	-18	15.3	15.3	0.03	14.8	14.6	0.16
Zion Williamson	78	80	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.13	-21	11	-32	15.4	14.9	0.47	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Derik Queen	71	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.13	-22	12	-34	15.7	14.1	1.59	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Bryce McGowens	64	65	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.25	-20	10	-30	15.4	15.1	0.29	14.8	14.8	-0.04

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	79	78	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.13	21	-11	32	14.4	16.5	-2.11	15.4	14.9	0.47
Paolo Banchero	92	89	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.17	16	-6	22	14.7	15.6	-0.86	15.4	14.0	1.40
Desmond Bane	97	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.8	0.0	14.78	15.3	0.0	15.33
Noah Penda	90	88	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	1	8	14.9	13.6	1.31	15.3	15.2	0.17
Anthony Black	90	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	0	10	15.1	11.0	4.08	15.4	14.8	0.53
Jase Richardson	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	16.4	14.1	2.34	14.1	15.9	-1.72
Jamal Cain	12	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	14.7	14.8	-0.13	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Tristan da Silva	69	67	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.12	-6	16	-22	15.5	12.9	2.61	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Moritz Wagner	57	56	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.10	-8	18	-26	15.5	13.8	1.63	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Jonathan Isaac	51	51	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.09	-11	21	-32	15.9	13.6	2.32	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Tyus Jones	54	54	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.12	-11	21	-32	16.6	12.5	4.16	15.1	15.6	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.39,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.27,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.56,0.79,0.83,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.91,1	92.5%
NJN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.97,0.95,1	92.3%
TOR 96, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	91.7%