NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	117		Excitement	1.6 [656]		MVP	Ja'Kobe Walter (TOR): +19.5%
Boston Celtics	125		Comeback	1.2 [1098]		LVP	Gradey Dick (TOR): -1.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	12	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	16	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Collin Murray-Boyles	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.09	10	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamison Battle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alijah Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.05	0.03	10	95%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	11	68%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.02	0.05	19	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	14	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	15	58%	0.12	4	-0.05	13	92%	0.05
Hugo Gonz�lez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	0.6	25.2	13.3	29.1	1.3	28.5	123.2
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +17.4%

BOS +12.6%

BOS +19.4%

BOS +0.5%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	16.8	14.2	123.2	137.4	113.4
season	13.9	15.5		113.5	118.4
opponent	14.4	14.8		110.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	15.4	13.0	14.1	14.2
BOS	15.9	15.2	17.7	18.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Lawson	16	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	16.6	13.7	2.89	17.4	16.7	0.68
Jamison Battle	72	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	3	-14	14.3	13.7	0.61	16.3	18.6	-2.32
Collin Murray-Boyles	66	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	7	-22	14.7	12.8	1.91	17.1	16.2	0.95
Jonathan Mogbo	73	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	3	-14	14.2	14.1	0.03	16.3	18.6	-2.32
Sandro Mamukelashvili	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	1	-10	14.9	12.2	2.66	16.2	18.7	-2.43
Alijah Martin	71	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	6	-20	13.7	15.5	-1.80	17.5	15.1	2.38
Gradey Dick	76	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	0	-8	13.9	15.2	-1.25	17.5	14.3	3.19
RJ Barrett	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	4	-16	14.8	12.6	2.25	16.3	18.1	-1.77
Jamal Shead	94	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	14.3	4.0	10.27	16.8	0.0	16.84
Ja'Kobe Walter	82	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	6	-20	14.6	11.6	2.95	16.6	18.4	-1.74
Immanuel Quickley	80	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	9	-26	14.6	11.6	3.04	16.4	19.2	-2.83

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	87	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	16.8	18.5	-1.74	14.5	7.6	6.92
Payton Pritchard	87	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-4	16	16.8	18.5	-1.74	14.6	7.0	7.64
Jaylen Brown	85	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-2	12	16.5	21.2	-4.64	14.2	13.3	0.88
Anfernee Simons	91	93	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	0	8	16.8	0.0	16.84	14.4	2.5	11.91
Luka Garza	76	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.13	12	-4	16	17.3	14.5	2.76	15.0	10.2	4.77
Sam Hauser	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-6	20	16.6	18.1	-1.50	14.7	12.2	2.53
Hugo Gonz�lez	69	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-3	14	16.3	18.6	-2.32	14.5	13.2	1.33
Neemias Queta	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	0	8	16.8	16.8	0.00	14.7	12.7	2.03
Jordan Walsh	48	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	3	2	16.0	17.7	-1.72	15.2	13.0	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	94.1%
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	93.9%
LAL 87, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1	93.7%