NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	6.2 [606]		MVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): +11.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	1.0 [1165]		LVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): -16.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	16	53%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Christian Koloko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Gabe Vincent	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.04	0.08	9	71%	0.03	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	21	49%	-0.02	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.04
D'Angelo Russell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	10	25%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	13	32%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	11	72%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	20	51%	0.02	5	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	25.9	15.0	23.5	2.0	31.3	127.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +16.5%

MIN +4.4%

MIN +5.0%

MIN +25.0%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	14.4	87.9	98.0	113.0
season	15.0	14.7		114.1	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.2	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	13.9	15.7	13.1	14.2
MIN	12.2	15.5	16.3	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Koloko	25	27	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.17	12	-22	34	13.5	14.4	-0.84	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Cam Reddish	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	14.2	14.1	0.08	15.1	14.8	0.28
Dalton Knecht	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-3	-4	14.7	13.8	0.82	13.3	15.9	-2.59
Austin Reaves	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-8	6	14.0	14.4	-0.46	14.6	15.6	-0.97
D'Angelo Russell	43	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	14.0	14.2	-0.19	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Max Christie	77	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-6	2	13.6	16.1	-2.55	15.0	14.6	0.36
Gabe Vincent	49	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-5	0	14.1	14.2	-0.18	16.2	13.6	2.59
Rui Hachimura	79	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.08	-18	8	-26	14.7	12.0	2.63	15.6	12.6	2.96
Anthony Davis	74	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.04	-22	12	-34	14.4	13.5	0.84	15.2	14.1	1.14

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	74	74	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-11	32	15.1	14.4	0.78	14.4	13.5	0.84
Anthony Edwards	62	65	0.69	-0.19	0.87	-0.05	25	-15	40	15.5	14.0	1.50	14.8	12.9	1.98
Julius Randle	66	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.04	22	-12	34	14.6	15.6	-0.95	14.7	13.0	1.66
Mike Conley	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-2	14	15.3	14.3	1.00	13.8	14.7	-0.98
Rudy Gobert	79	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	6	-2	15.4	13.3	2.05	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Naz Reid	53	53	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	16	-22	14.7	15.2	-0.48	14.2	14.0	0.20
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	41	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	17	-24	13.8	15.8	-1.98	13.6	14.5	-0.97
Donte DiVincenzo	42	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	21	-32	14.5	15.2	-0.68	14.2	14.1	0.07
Rob Dillingham	18	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	20	-30	14.4	15.0	-0.60	13.2	14.3	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	95.3%
VAN 91, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.89,0.79,0.98,1,1	94.2%
DEN 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	94.0%