NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	7.8 [223]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +23.4%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	7.2 [94]		LVP	Caleb Martin (DAL): -8.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Christie	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	9	76%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.13	0.07	0.01	13	79%	0.25	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Cooper Flagg	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	18	65%	0.24	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	20	51%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0,-0.06	0.10	-0.11	0.05	11	71%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Nembhard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.26,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.17	-0.00	26	57%	0.31	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	12	70%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	12	58%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	40%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.3	31.0	0.0	24.2	0.0	28.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.4%

DAL -1.3%

DAL -3.6%

UTA +34.6%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.2	14.2	111.8	111.5	113.5
season	13.8	14.0		109.2	112.5
opponent	13.6	14.0		119.7	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	12.2	12.2	16.8	13.8
UTA	12.9	13.9	15.5	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Nembhard	68	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-5	8	14.1	13.1	1.06	15.4	11.6	3.77
Caleb Martin	83	85	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	1	-4	13.3	15.9	-2.62	14.5	12.6	1.96
Brandon Williams	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	8	-18	13.6	13.9	-0.23	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Anthony Davis	86	89	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	5	-12	14.4	10.4	4.02	14.4	13.1	1.30
Klay Thompson	102	103	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.8	0.0	13.76	14.3	1.0	13.31
Cooper Flagg	102	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.8	0.0	13.76	14.2	0.0	14.18
Max Christie	93	96	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	5	-12	14.0	10.9	3.15	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Naji Marshall	88	91	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	6	-14	14.3	10.5	3.78	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Daniel Gafford	78	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	7	-16	14.5	11.2	3.29	14.1	14.4	-0.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	86	87	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-3	8	14.4	13.2	1.23	14.0	12.1	1.91
Walter Clayton Jr.	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.51	2	0	2	14.8	12.7	2.04	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Lauri Markkanen	104	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.2	0.0	14.18	13.8	0.0	13.76
Keyonte George	98	95	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	14.0	16.8	-2.81	14.0	11.1	2.82
Kevin Love	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.05	13	-11	24	14.8	13.6	1.14	14.9	12.7	2.27
Brice Sensabaugh	86	84	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	5	-8	14.4	12.9	1.50	14.2	11.6	2.68
Cody Williams	66	63	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-6	14	13.6	15.1	-1.50	14.0	13.5	0.49
Kyle Filipowski	77	76	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	-2	6	14.2	14.0	0.20	12.9	16.2	-3.31
Taylor Hendricks	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	13.6	14.5	-0.88	13.9	13.7	0.28
Isaiah Collier	88	87	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	4	-6	14.2	14.3	-0.15	12.8	19.4	-6.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.22,0.2,0.37,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 106, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.24,0.09,0.15,0.54,0.68,0.74,1	90.8%
BOS 99, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.52,0.45,0.91,0.99,1	90.5%
NJN 86, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.76,1,1	90.1%