NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	9.3 [91]		MVP	Deni Avdija (POR): +37.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.5 [170]		LVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -17.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.17	2	-0.08	11	64%	-0.08
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.18,0.02	0.13	-0.11	0.01	26	61%	0.10	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.07
Josh Okogie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tari Eason	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	18	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	13	22%	-0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.22	0.03	24	65%	0.52	5	-0.15	15	87%	0.02
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	10	64%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Donovan Clingan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	17	50%	0.17	3	-0.21	6	50%	-0.01
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yang Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	0.2	29.0	14.3	28.2	0.1	44.6	146.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +92.4%

POR +3.4%

HOU -42.1%

HOU -11.3%

POR +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	14.2	105.2	105.1	113.6
season	15.4	13.9		117.3	111.8
opponent	14.0	13.9		114.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.5	16.4	13.5	15.2	14.6
POR	14.5	13.0	16.5	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	68	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-9	17	13.8	16.4	-2.67	15.1	14.2	0.93
Aaron Holiday	37	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-7	13	15.1	14.4	0.74	15.6	14.3	1.27
Clint Capela	79	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-9	17	14.5	15.4	-0.91	15.7	10.6	5.08
Josh Okogie	95	96	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-2	3	14.9	2.5	12.41	15.1	1.0	14.14
Reed Sheppard	95	95	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-2	3	14.9	2.5	12.41	15.2	3.3	11.88
Steven Adams	86	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-1	1	15.0	12.1	2.89	14.9	14.5	0.34
Jabari Smith Jr.	89	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-1	1	14.8	13.5	1.25	15.2	11.2	3.99
Tari Eason	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.1	13.3	1.78	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Amen Thompson	96	97	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-2	3	14.4	35.0	-20.56	14.9	8.0	6.92
Kevin Durant	94	96	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.8	9.0	5.83	14.8	19.0	-4.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	98	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.8	0.0	14.85	14.6	0.0	14.65
Deni Avdija	91	91	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.50	-2	3	-5	15.0	13.3	1.68	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Toumani Camara	94	92	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	-1	3	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.1	7.0	8.07
Caleb Love	97	96	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	0	1	15.0	0.0	15.00	14.7	5.0	9.75
Sidy Cissoko	79	79	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	3	-5	15.0	14.3	0.66	14.9	13.5	1.41
Donovan Clingan	82	80	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	7	-13	15.0	14.0	1.01	14.8	13.9	0.86
Robert Williams III	85	83	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.33	-8	9	-17	15.5	10.3	5.23	14.6	15.2	-0.66
Rayan Rupert	80	78	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.38	-10	11	-21	15.9	10.3	5.60	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Yang Hansen	66	67	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	7	-13	15.7	13.0	2.70	13.9	16.3	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.97,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.95,0.97,1	93.3%
DAL 80, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,1	93.2%
VAN 92, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.6%