inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement10.2 [48] MVPBrandon Williams (DAL): +53.5%
Sacramento Kings 98 Comeback6.2 [239] LVPMax Christie (DAL): -29.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Williams0.540,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.530.040.49-0.001358%0.582-0.04560%-0.03
Cooper Flagg0.300,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.30.090.19-0.031562%0.321-0.022100%0.01
Naji Marshall0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.040.010.040.001068%0.274-0.2320%-0.09
Ryan Nembhard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Gafford-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00862%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00217%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Klay Thompson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.001225%-0.111-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Davis-0.240,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.13-0.090.012336%-0.173-0.07771%-0.00
Max Christie-0.300,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.07-0.210.021338%-0.182-0.123100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.18,0.30.300.060.24-0.001855%0.321-0.022100%0.01
Maxime Raynaud0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.100.110.01787%0.231-0.022100%0.01
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.01764%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Dylan Cardwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.030.01450%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nique Clifford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00275%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Dennis Schröder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.021041%-0.031-0.03743%-0.04
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.09,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.080.001950%0.032-0.112100%0.01
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.070.00831%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28-0.28-0.13-0.15-0.001532%-0.213-0.07450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.90.332.914.329.70.136.6144.9
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +43.7%
SAC -5.0%
DAL +24.5%
SAC -24.1%
DAL +10.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSACNBADALSACNBA
this game14.013.914.299.093.3113.5
season13.814.3109.2107.9
opponent14.114.0118.8112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.413.613.116.114.0
SAC12.613.015.115.213.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Gafford83860.73-0.230.960.479-71614.113.60.4514.710.44.29
Max Christie93960.69-0.190.870.3611-92014.112.61.4714.211.22.97
Anthony Davis961000.56-0.060.630.425-3814.013.01.0314.012.61.40
Cooper Flagg1011040.51-0.010.520.4520214.00.013.9814.11.013.06
Naji Marshall83860.380.120.260.3802-214.511.43.1514.013.70.30
Brandon Williams1001040.280.220.070.2320214.12.012.1014.06.08.01
Caleb Martin66680.060.44-0.38-0.033-1413.814.2-0.3814.413.01.40
Ryan Nembhard2829-0.040.54-0.57-0.133-1416.313.13.2415.613.32.28
Klay Thompson8689-0.060.56-0.61-0.0911014.312.22.0914.312.02.28

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Precious Achiuwa57550.09-0.590.670.12-1-1014.313.50.8816.011.54.47
Doug McDermott99-0.10-0.400.300.05-53-817.213.63.6013.714.0-0.34
Nique Clifford5756-0.23-0.270.050.04-97-1614.313.50.8013.314.9-1.60
Dylan Cardwell8180-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.332-4614.512.02.5614.711.13.64
Keon Ellis104101-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.31-20-214.06.08.0114.00.013.98
Maxime Raynaud9189-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.24-86-1414.212.51.6514.410.63.85
Russell Westbrook9290-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.23-97-1614.112.81.3314.410.93.45
DeMar DeRozan105101-0.500.00-0.50-0.44-20-213.90.013.9314.00.013.98
Zach LaVine9794-0.640.14-0.77-0.37-97-1614.210.23.9914.112.41.67
Dennis Schröder8783-0.720.22-0.94-0.46-97-1614.610.93.6114.113.60.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 95, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,091.5%
DET 94, NYK 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.85,091.1%
PHI 92, NJN 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,090.9%