NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	7.1 [286]		MVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): +25.9%
LA Clippers	103		Comeback	1.5 [303]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): -19.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	23	53%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Gary Payton II	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gui Santos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	8	33%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quinten Post	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Richard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler III	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.14	0.06	-0.18	0.01	16	56%	-0.07	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.20	-0.01	7	89%	0.36	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.11
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	12	67%	0.18	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	16	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	25	44%	-0.07	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	25.9	0.0	28.2	0.0	44.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.4%

LAC +1.8%

LAC +22.1%

GSW -29.2%

LAC +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	14.2	103.0	106.2	113.5
season	14.7	15.3		113.1	114.4
opponent	14.2	13.6		114.3	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	12.8	16.2	13.0	13.9
LAC	13.3	16.0	14.5	18.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	41	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-3	5	13.6	14.1	-0.46	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Stephen Curry	81	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-9	17	13.8	14.1	-0.22	16.0	13.0	3.03
Gui Santos	24	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.40	11	-12	23	13.0	14.2	-1.22	18.6	14.5	4.04
Gary Payton II	65	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-5	9	14.0	13.6	0.40	15.5	15.3	0.20
Will Richard	52	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	3	-7	13.3	14.6	-1.28	14.6	16.4	-1.85
Draymond Green	84	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.59	12	-13	25	13.9	14.0	-0.14	15.9	13.0	2.88
Trayce Jackson-Davis	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	14.9	13.4	1.48	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Al Horford	97	96	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	2	-5	14.0	8.0	6.00	15.4	26.0	-10.65
Quinten Post	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	14	-29	13.8	13.9	-0.10	13.7	16.6	-2.97
Brandin Podziemski	84	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	2	-5	14.6	9.8	4.81	15.3	16.5	-1.21
De'Anthony Melton	97	96	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	13.8	17.0	-3.19	15.5	13.0	2.49
Jimmy Butler III	99	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.9	0.0	13.88	15.5	0.0	15.46

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Miller	73	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-12	25	14.6	18.2	-3.59	14.5	12.0	2.48
Kawhi Leonard	97	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.5	0.0	15.46	13.9	0.0	13.88
Kobe Sanders	93	95	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.50	-2	3	-5	15.5	14.7	0.74	14.1	8.7	5.34
Nicolas Batum	96	97	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-2	5	15.4	26.0	-10.65	14.0	8.0	6.00
Brook Lopez	75	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	-5	11	14.6	18.3	-3.63	14.3	12.5	1.82
Kris Dunn	71	73	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.45	-5	6	-11	15.9	14.2	1.68	13.7	14.3	-0.63
John Collins	79	81	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	9	-17	16.0	13.0	3.03	13.8	14.1	-0.22
Ivica Zubac	76	78	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.54	-16	17	-33	15.9	13.9	2.05	13.3	15.9	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.85,0.95,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%
TOR 101, CLE 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.76,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
NJN 90, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.84,1	92.6%