NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	129		Excitement	7.0 [290]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +32.9%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	2.2 [533]		LVP	Brice Sensabaugh (UTA): -10.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.15	0.18	0.00	16	66%	0.35	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Luka Garza	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	8	88%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	15	59%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Payton Pritchard	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	15	58%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Neemias Queta	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	19	52%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.10	0.01	11	96%	0.38	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	16	55%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Keyonte George	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.18	-0.05	0.07	24	69%	0.18	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	28%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	0.0	26.0	0.0	31.2	0.0	30.3	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.2%

UTA -5.7%

BOS +0.7%

BOS +21.9%

UTA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	14.2	127.7	116.7	113.5
season	15.4	14.0		119.3	112.5
opponent	13.6	14.3		119.7	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	12.3	13.2	19.0	14.0
UTA	13.0	16.0	14.0	14.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	89	90	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.15	20	-10	30	13.7	15.9	-2.19	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Jaylen Brown	98	98	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.16	15	-5	20	14.0	14.3	-0.35	14.5	10.2	4.27
Hugo Gonz�lez	98	98	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.16	15	-5	20	14.0	14.3	-0.35	14.5	10.2	4.27
Baylor Scheierman	37	36	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.12	16	-6	22	15.2	13.3	1.98	15.6	13.7	1.90
Payton Pritchard	90	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-4	18	14.6	9.3	5.29	14.9	10.3	4.56
Sam Hauser	99	99	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	2	6	14.1	10.5	3.56	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Luka Garza	75	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-2	14	12.7	17.8	-5.14	14.1	15.2	-1.18
Neemias Queta	74	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	10	-10	14.7	12.1	2.51	15.0	12.6	2.42
Derrick White	88	88	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	5	0	14.3	11.6	2.73	14.7	12.4	2.31
Jordan Walsh	46	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	12.7	15.1	-2.42	14.6	14.1	0.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurki?	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-7	4	15.1	12.0	3.13	14.6	11.5	3.11
Isaiah Collier	100	100	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	-2	-6	14.4	10.0	4.44	13.9	21.0	-7.08
Lauri Markkanen	100	100	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	-2	-6	14.4	10.0	4.44	13.9	21.0	-7.08
Keyonte George	100	100	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	-2	-6	14.4	10.0	4.44	13.9	21.0	-7.08
Walter Clayton Jr.	42	41	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	6	-22	15.3	13.7	1.67	15.2	13.2	1.99
Brice Sensabaugh	88	89	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	2	-14	15.0	10.3	4.71	14.5	10.2	4.24
Cody Williams	78	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	2	-14	14.2	14.9	-0.74	14.1	13.5	0.59
Taylor Hendricks	63	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	0	-10	15.1	13.2	1.90	14.7	12.8	1.86
Kyle Filipowski	83	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.20	-17	7	-24	14.2	14.9	-0.73	13.9	14.3	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.31,0.37,0.51,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 95, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.6%
MIA 105, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0	92.5%
NOH 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0,0	92.3%