NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	10.4 [43]		MVP	Toumani Camara (POR): +19.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	3.2 [132]		LVP	Deni Avdija (POR): -17.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	11	52%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.08	-0.01	23	66%	0.37	6	-0.33	10	70%	-0.02
Jordan Walsh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Hauser	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.29,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	16	37%	0.02	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	14	65%	0.27	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	20	62%	0.25	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	10	82%	0.31	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	14	60%	0.25	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Yang Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	16	57%	-0.06	5	-0.11	10	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	0.0	32.8	0.0	25.6	0.0	33.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.2%

BOS -14.4%

POR +16.6%

POR +11.5%

POR +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	13.7	14.2	104.9	108.6	113.5
season	15.4	13.8		119.3	111.9
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.5	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.9	12.4	16.5	15.6	13.9
POR	13.2	13.3	13.5	15.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Walsh	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-6	6	14.7	13.7	0.92	14.4	13.5	0.88
Neemias Queta	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-5	4	14.4	12.4	1.98	14.3	11.9	2.34
Baylor Scheierman	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	10	-26	14.2	13.5	0.74	13.3	14.3	-1.06
Hugo Gonz�lez	102	102	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	14.0	10.0	3.97	14.0	4.0	10.01
Sam Hauser	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	9	-24	14.9	11.4	3.49	13.8	13.4	0.38
Derrick White	103	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.9	0.0	13.93	13.7	0.0	13.72
Luka Garza	62	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	12	-30	14.4	13.2	1.18	13.8	13.7	0.08
Jaylen Brown	95	97	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	2	-10	13.7	16.9	-3.19	13.7	14.2	-0.57
Payton Pritchard	98	99	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	2	-10	13.8	17.0	-3.22	13.8	11.7	2.18
Anfernee Simons	82	82	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.27	-20	14	-34	14.6	11.4	3.20	13.9	13.1	0.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Love	92	91	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-7	20	13.7	13.5	0.21	14.1	12.9	1.15
Sidy Cissoko	91	89	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-2	10	14.2	10.7	3.47	14.3	11.6	2.65
Toumani Camara	102	101	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	13.7	13.0	0.75	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Deni Avdija	104	103	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	0	6	13.8	3.0	10.83	13.9	0.0	13.93
Shaedon Sharpe	98	96	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	14.0	9.4	4.60	14.3	9.3	4.99
Donovan Clingan	91	92	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	3	0	14.1	11.3	2.81	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Rayan Rupert	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-9	24	13.9	13.5	0.36	14.5	13.1	1.43
Yang Hansen	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-7	20	13.2	14.4	-1.18	14.1	13.7	0.37
Kris Murray	94	93	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.09	3	3	0	13.9	12.4	1.52	14.3	10.4	3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.84,1	91.5%
OKC 104, POR 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.85,0.73,1	91.1%
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	90.7%