inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 127 Excitement9.5 [58] MVPImmanuel Quickley (TOR): +35.8%
Toronto Raptors 141 Comeback42.7 [12] LVPJamal Shead (TOR): -13.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandin Podziemski0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.080.130.03968%0.211-0.031100%0.00
Draymond Green0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.020.001468%0.183-0.12333%-0.02
Buddy Hield0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00275%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Al Horford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Quinten Post0.010,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.033100%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Jimmy Butler III0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.011649%0.103-0.107100%0.04
Gary Payton II-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00367%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.060,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.10-0.16-0.003055%0.234-0.2911100%0.09
Will Richard-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.050.00756%-0.002-0.06475%-0.00
Moses Moody-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02625%-0.052-0.0300%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.090.290.021571%0.495-0.138100%0.03
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.080.150.031766%0.303-0.111100%0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.02-0.011082%0.1900.002100%0.01
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.02671%0.0900.002100%0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.001159%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jonathan Mogbo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamison Battle00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.040.021343%-0.0700.0020%-0.02
Brandon Ingram0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.16,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.00-0.090.042648%-0.072-0.062100%-0.01
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.040.03847%-0.034-0.101100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.51.627.613.734.00.235.81.612.8152.9
league avg26.32.128.914.529.52.332.72.216.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +37.8%
GSW -20.4%
GSW -3.1%
TOR +36.6%
GSW -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWTORNBAGSWTORNBA
this game14.713.414.1112.4124.8113.8
season14.714.0112.4113.3
opponent14.613.6110.8111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW16.512.413.516.016.814.7
TOR11.013.315.312.916.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford86870.43-0.931.370.179-233214.814.70.0513.512.80.77
Quinten Post67680.13-0.630.77-0.015-192414.415.3-0.9113.712.90.82
Gary Payton II7778-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-7014.814.60.1513.513.00.48
Draymond Green8990-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.20-3-11814.814.60.2013.612.41.22
Moses Moody8888-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-6-8214.914.40.4913.712.01.70
Stephen Curry9798-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-9414.715.2-0.5213.711.32.42
Buddy Hield5656-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.01-140-1415.314.21.1512.813.9-1.18
Jimmy Butler III111111-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.15-12-2-1014.716.0-1.2813.413.5-0.14
Will Richard111111-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.15-12-2-1014.716.0-1.2813.413.5-0.14
Brandin Podziemski113113-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-140-1414.70.014.7413.40.013.36

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ja'Kobe Walter97970.51-0.010.530.131311213.612.21.3715.112.72.39
Scottie Barnes1121120.500.000.500.091401413.226.0-12.7514.813.01.76
Jonathan Mogbo880.50-0.000.500.091401414.913.21.6317.214.62.70
Garrett Temple990.50-0.000.500.091401416.113.12.9916.814.62.21
Jamison Battle880.50-0.000.500.091401414.913.21.6317.214.62.70
Jamal Shead1061060.480.020.470.101311213.314.1-0.8314.813.61.25
Gradey Dick81810.320.180.140.0595413.413.20.2414.415.5-1.06
Brandon Ingram99980.310.190.110.1077013.612.01.5614.714.9-0.22
Immanuel Quickley93920.220.28-0.060.13311-813.612.41.1114.814.50.27
Sandro Mamukelashvili92910.030.47-0.430.00113-1213.313.8-0.5514.316.7-2.46
RJ Barrett6665-0.490.99-1.48-0.11-1327-4013.013.9-0.9114.315.4-1.06
Ochai Agbaji5959-0.531.03-1.57-0.04-1731-4813.313.5-0.1913.815.8-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.34,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.15,0.5,0.75,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 101, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.99,1,190.1%
DET 83, LAC 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.73,190.0%
GSW 133, MIL 1380.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.84,189.3%