NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	1.6 [648]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +24.9%
Charlotte Hornets	126		Comeback	2.6 [716]		LVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): -17.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	10	64%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Marvin Bagley III	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Justin Champagnie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bub Carrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Sarr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Malaki Branham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	17	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kyshawn George	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.05	-0.04	9	11%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.09	-0.02	12	77%	0.30	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.01	7	60%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	17	59%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	5	72%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Tidjane Sala�n	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	11	44%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.03	0.10	15	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liam McNeeley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	13	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	0.2	31.1	0.1	40.1	0.1	29.9	131.6
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +55.3%

WAS -3.7%

WAS -6.4%

CHA +5.5%

WAS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	14.2	113.5	132.6	113.4
season	13.9	15.1		108.7	116.9
opponent	14.1	13.9		112.6	120.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	10.4	17.1	15.8	15.1	14.5
CHA	15.5	13.4	16.2	17.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	60	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-16	15	13.5	16.1	-2.61	15.2	16.3	-1.07
Bub Carrington	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-11	5	13.9	15.4	-1.50	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Justin Champagnie	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-8	-1	14.1	15.7	-1.52	15.2	17.1	-1.93
Marvin Bagley III	76	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-8	-1	14.2	15.4	-1.23	15.2	17.1	-1.93
Tristan Vukcevic	18	18	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-3	-11	16.4	14.0	2.35	17.2	15.3	1.88
Anthony Gill	18	18	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-3	-11	16.4	14.0	2.35	17.2	15.3	1.88
Will Riley	22	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	15.1	14.3	0.85	17.6	15.1	2.54
AJ Johnson	22	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	15.1	14.3	0.85	17.6	15.1	2.54
Kyshawn George	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-3	-11	14.5	14.4	0.14	15.3	17.2	-1.95
Tre Johnson	92	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	-1	-15	14.7	9.5	5.20	15.5	19.5	-4.03
Malaki Branham	35	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.08	-21	4	-25	15.9	13.7	2.26	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Khris Middleton	63	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.03	-21	4	-25	15.4	12.8	2.62	14.5	17.7	-3.20
CJ McCollum	82	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	3	-23	15.6	8.0	7.59	15.2	18.1	-2.85
Bilal Coulibaly	73	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.02	-22	5	-27	15.4	11.7	3.66	14.4	19.7	-5.29
Alex Sarr	74	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.02	-22	5	-27	15.4	11.2	4.22	14.9	18.4	-3.52

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	62	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.09	25	-8	33	14.4	17.9	-3.52	15.2	13.0	2.27
Sion James	92	91	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.00	18	-1	19	15.5	20.3	-4.84	14.8	8.6	6.20
Brandon Miller	86	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-2	21	15.2	20.0	-4.81	14.5	14.4	0.13
Tidjane Sala�n	95	95	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	0	17	15.6	0.0	15.64	14.4	20.0	-5.58
Miles Bridges	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	0	17	15.0	20.7	-5.65	15.0	10.7	4.36
Pat Connaughton	20	19	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	0	17	17.0	15.3	1.72	16.3	14.0	2.29
Liam McNeeley	20	19	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	0	17	17.0	15.3	1.72	16.3	14.0	2.29
Kon Knueppel	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-1	19	15.3	17.3	-2.01	15.1	11.2	3.88
Collin Sexton	71	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	9	-1	15.2	17.1	-1.93	13.9	16.2	-2.36
Josh Green	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	2	13	15.4	16.5	-1.18	13.9	16.3	-2.34
Moussa Diabat�	83	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	4	9	15.5	16.7	-1.17	14.4	15.2	-0.88
Tre Mann	59	60	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	10	-3	14.9	16.9	-2.05	15.0	13.5	1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 93, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NYK 92, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
LAL 102, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	93.2%