inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 113 Excitement8.0 [293] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +16.5%
New Orleans Pelicans 119 Comeback9.3 [154] LVPRyan Nembhard (DAL): -32.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0.100,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.012859%0.194-0.09367%-0.01
Caleb Martin0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.020.00280%0.0600.0010%-0.02
Klay Thompson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.020.001754%0.081-0.03333%-0.02
Naji Marshall0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.010.041075%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Cooper Flagg0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.01-0.031150%0.052-0.031050%-0.07
Jaden Hardy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.00533%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Brandon Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01825%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Daniel Gafford-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00337%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
P.J. Washington-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.030.03757%0.013-0.0900%0.00
Ryan Nembhard-0.320,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.24-0.09-0.011315%-0.165-0.1600%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.060.041475%0.191-0.034100%0.01
Derik Queen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.05-0.001263%0.153-0.06683%0.03
Jordan Poole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.03-0.031250%0.102-0.054100%0.02
Jose Alvarado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00475%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.040.030.020.001749%0.081-0.045100%0.02
Jeremiah Fears0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.02-0.031437%0.021-0.03475%0.00
Herbert Jones0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.02764%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Trey Murphy III0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.011242%0.011-0.032100%0.00
Micah Peavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Karlo Matkovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00450%-0.001-0.0420%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.70.027.30.024.90.041.00.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.82.132.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +24.3%
NOP +19.2%
DAL -4.3%
NOP +12.6%
DAL -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALNOPNBADALNOPNBA
this game13.013.514.2103.7110.2113.5
season13.914.0109.5112.2
opponent14.113.9116.6114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.411.413.612.613.0
NOP11.214.915.213.113.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden Hardy41410.20-0.700.900.084-101413.912.51.4014.812.72.06
Brandon Williams85860.15-0.650.790.092-81013.610.63.0213.214.9-1.73
Naji Marshall9999-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.38-2-4213.210.62.6213.315.9-2.58
Ryan Nembhard7170-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.18-104-1413.512.01.4714.411.82.60
Klay Thompson108107-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.32-60-613.13.010.0713.67.06.59
P.J. Washington8787-0.510.01-0.52-0.24-93-1212.813.5-0.7114.011.62.43
Cooper Flagg9392-0.570.07-0.64-0.33-82-1013.211.91.2213.712.61.06
Anthony Davis9796-0.610.11-0.72-0.23-137-2013.111.71.3813.811.42.38
Caleb Martin8788-0.620.12-0.74-0.30-115-1613.710.33.3413.314.4-1.13
Daniel Gafford8988-0.720.22-0.93-0.22-1711-2813.510.72.7313.613.00.59

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Saddiq Bey86880.71-0.210.930.2217-112813.712.80.9513.112.60.45
Derik Queen84850.66-0.160.820.3411-51613.912.41.4813.212.20.99
Zion Williamson1041050.64-0.140.780.3510-41413.416.0-2.5713.28.05.17
Jose Alvarado92920.63-0.130.760.3410-41413.315.0-1.7313.311.02.35
Trey Murphy III1081080.490.010.480.3160613.50.013.5313.13.010.07
Jordan Poole1081080.490.010.480.3160613.50.013.5313.13.010.07
Jeremiah Fears54550.090.41-0.32-0.117-1813.413.7-0.3513.512.41.14
Herbert Jones4547-0.060.56-0.61-0.0606-613.313.7-0.3713.612.51.04
Micah Peavy2525-0.150.65-0.80-0.09-28-1015.213.02.1213.612.80.85
Karlo Matkovi?7778-0.260.76-1.02-0.08-612-1813.513.7-0.2613.312.30.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 93, POR 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.97,0.95,191.9%
NOP 118, ORL 1280.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.39,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.27,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.56,0.79,0.83,0.99,191.3%
WAS 88, BOS 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,191.1%