NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	128		Excitement	12.0 [14]		MVP	Desmond Bane (ORL): +78.3%
Utah Jazz	127		Comeback	2.9 [331]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -44.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.78	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.78	0.11	0.64	-0.04	21	70%	0.92	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Black	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3	0.08	0.19	-0.03	12	62%	0.33	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.00	9	70%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Goga Bitadze	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jett Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Penda	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.09	-0.03	11	59%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.45	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.45	-0.02	-0.41	0.02	18	45%	-0.23	2	-0.22	15	67%	-0.08

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.47	0.47	-0.04	0.51	0.01	22	50%	0.59	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.13
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.38,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.15	0.03	16	72%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	12	64%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.09
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	120%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.02	12	60%	0.18	3	-0.27	6	83%	0.03
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.01	14	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.5	0.0	29.2	0.0	35.1	0.0	34.1	0.0	19.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +51.2%

UTA -39.6%

ORL +32.7%

ORL +1.6%

ORL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.1	14.2	114.3	115.5	113.5
season	14.1	14.0		112.5	112.5
opponent	13.6	14.1		119.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	13.1	14.0	14.2	18.3	12.3	14.5
UTA	13.5	13.7	15.8	13.2	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	92	90	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.47	16	-15	31	13.9	17.5	-3.62	14.5	12.1	2.43
Paolo Banchero	106	103	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-4	9	14.5	14.3	0.20	14.3	10.4	3.91
Desmond Bane	111	109	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.6	1.0	13.65	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Anthony Black	104	101	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	1	-1	14.6	13.0	1.64	14.2	12.8	1.43
Wendell Carter Jr.	103	100	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	1	-1	14.6	13.8	0.81	14.2	13.2	0.98
Jase Richardson	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-10	21	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.5	13.3	1.16
Jett Howard	89	89	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.58	-8	9	-17	14.7	13.7	0.99	14.3	13.2	1.11
Tyus Jones	49	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-9	19	14.1	14.9	-0.83	14.6	13.8	0.82
Goga Bitadze	74	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-6	13	14.6	14.3	0.36	15.0	12.4	2.62
Noah Penda	59	57	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.18	-9	10	-19	15.7	13.2	2.50	13.9	14.3	-0.41

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurki?	41	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	4	-9	15.9	13.0	2.85	15.0	14.2	0.78
Kyle Filipowski	48	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	9	-19	14.6	13.7	0.91	13.9	15.0	-1.06
Ace Bailey	86	86	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-8	15	14.2	13.7	0.44	14.9	13.3	1.64
Isaiah Collier	78	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-4	7	14.6	12.8	1.85	14.9	13.5	1.48
Taylor Hendricks	53	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	9	-19	14.4	13.8	0.52	13.8	15.2	-1.46
Walter Clayton Jr.	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	12	-25	14.5	13.6	0.94	13.7	15.4	-1.72
Keyonte George	100	103	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-1	1	14.2	13.2	0.98	14.6	13.8	0.81
Kevin Love	110	112	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.1	0.0	14.09	14.5	0.0	14.53
Svi Mykhailiuk	75	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	3	-7	14.8	12.6	2.19	14.9	13.8	1.06
Cody Williams	55	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	18	-37	15.2	13.0	2.22	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Brice Sensabaugh	89	92	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.37	-17	16	-33	14.7	11.5	3.23	13.9	17.3	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.78,0.31,0	90.5%
NYK 102, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0	90.3%
SAS 110, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0	89.2%