NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	8.6 [178]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +45.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	2.4 [579]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -11.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.33	-0.10	0.40	-0.03	12	31%	0.35	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.32	0.00	0.28	-0.04	16	60%	0.40	5	-0.08	8	75%	0.10
Boris Diaw	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.19	0.00	6	92%	0.31	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	4	92%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.05	0.00	9	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	15	59%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.42	0.03	23	59%	0.56	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	10	60%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	-0.08	0.26	-0.01	18	42%	0.43	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	18	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	27.1	15.7	27.6	1.6	34.7	1.0	19.3	151.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -17.7%

SAS +31.9%

SAS +20.8%

SAS +12.0%

SAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.1	108.9	104.9	105.2
season	15.0	16.4		109.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		103.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	14.9	15.4	17.4	13.7	20.4	15.6
MEM	15.8	18.1	16.1	13.0	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	73	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	1	0	16.4	13.6	2.85	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Kawhi Leonard	60	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-13	28	15.9	15.2	0.70	16.1	14.8	1.32
Boris Diaw	47	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	-1	4	15.2	16.0	-0.79	16.9	14.3	2.56
Manu Ginobili	61	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	5	-8	15.5	15.8	-0.36	15.9	15.1	0.78
Patty Mills	22	22	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-4	10	14.2	16.0	-1.86	19.0	14.6	4.34
Tony Parker	79	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	6	-10	16.0	14.2	1.86	14.6	19.0	-4.34
Danny Green	45	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.41	-6	8	-14	15.3	15.9	-0.66	15.3	15.8	-0.53
Matt Bonner	14	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-5	12	12.9	16.1	-3.22	18.4	15.1	3.25
Jeff Ayres	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	5	-8	17.0	14.7	2.30	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Marco Belinelli	62	62	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	8	-14	14.9	16.8	-1.98	14.0	17.9	-3.84

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	42	44	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.40	-8	6	-14	16.3	15.0	1.33	16.1	15.3	0.81
Kosta Koufos	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	2	-6	16.0	15.4	0.65	17.2	15.1	2.07
James Johnson	66	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.46	10	-12	22	14.9	16.7	-1.81	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Tayshaun Prince	51	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	2	-6	16.1	15.0	1.18	15.6	15.7	-0.05
Nick Calathes	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	5	-12	19.5	14.6	4.97	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Mike Conley	83	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.41	5	-7	12	14.6	19.5	-4.97	15.9	14.7	1.16
Courtney Lee	52	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-4	6	15.0	16.1	-1.18	15.7	15.6	0.05
Zach Randolph	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-6	10	15.5	15.6	-0.10	16.3	13.5	2.86
Jon Leuer	51	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	10	-22	17.1	14.0	3.08	14.5	16.7	-2.25
Ed Davis	49	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.73	4	-6	10	13.9	17.0	-3.10	15.2	15.9	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 147, LAL 141	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,0	92.3%
IND 105, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.54,0.32,0.54,0.77,0.58,0	90.5%
GSW 118, TOR 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.42,0	90.3%