NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	133		Excitement	10.3 [65]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +89.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	134		Comeback	2.9 [491]		LVP	Keon Ellis (SAC): -13.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.90	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.9	0.23	0.74	0.07	16	79%	0.94	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.10
Russell Westbrook	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.02	11	77%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Nique Clifford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Maxime Raynaud	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	20	59%	0.12	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Dylan Cardwell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Dario �ari?	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.13	-0.05	17	50%	0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	9	48%	-0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.8	0.80	0.13	0.68	0.00	19	70%	0.96	5	-0.15	12	83%	0.18
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	54%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	12	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	-0.02	22	57%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.01
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.04	18	51%	0.08	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.15	0.00	9	61%	-0.05	1	-0.04	13	38%	-0.29
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	0.0	33.3	0.0	28.8	0.0	44.5	0.0	22.5	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	2.1	16.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -19.0%

POR +19.9%

POR +51.4%

SAC -7.1%

POR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	12.5	14.8	14.2	114.7	114.5	113.5
season	14.4	13.9		109.5	111.1
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.6	119.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	13.9	14.2	12.0	11.7	8.8	12.5
POR	13.8	15.8	15.7	14.5	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario �ari?	61	62	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-5	9	13.4	11.4	1.94	15.4	14.1	1.29
Precious Achiuwa	32	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	14.5	11.7	2.78	12.8	15.6	-2.80
Nique Clifford	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	3	-7	13.6	10.8	2.77	15.6	13.6	2.08
Keegan Murray	109	109	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-4	7	12.7	9.1	3.53	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Dennis Schr�der	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	10	-21	13.7	9.8	3.89	15.6	13.3	2.28
Keon Ellis	116	117	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	12.5	0.0	12.46	14.8	0.0	14.83
Dylan Cardwell	97	98	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	4	-9	13.0	9.8	3.13	15.1	13.4	1.68
DeMar DeRozan	100	100	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	7	-15	12.7	10.7	2.05	14.2	18.4	-4.12
Russell Westbrook	100	100	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	7	-15	12.7	10.7	2.05	14.2	18.4	-4.12
Maxime Raynaud	97	98	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.45	-10	9	-19	12.8	10.6	2.25	14.2	18.1	-3.85

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	105	106	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.74	9	-8	17	14.6	16.6	-1.95	12.7	10.3	2.36
Kris Murray	93	93	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.91	-4	5	-9	15.1	14.0	1.10	12.6	12.0	0.62
Sidy Cissoko	103	103	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.91	-5	6	-11	15.0	13.3	1.75	12.3	13.4	-1.04
Deni Avdija	117	116	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.8	0.0	14.83	12.5	0.0	12.46
Jerami Grant	116	115	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.50	-1	2	-3	14.9	10.0	4.87	12.5	2.0	10.55
Toumani Camara	85	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-10	21	14.8	14.8	-0.02	13.9	8.2	5.74
Robert Williams III	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-8	17	15.6	13.9	1.69	13.9	10.4	3.48
Caleb Love	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	-2	5	16.7	13.7	2.99	13.1	12.1	1.00
Duop Reath	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	-1	3	17.9	14.6	3.27	13.9	12.4	1.52
Rayan Rupert	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	13.5	15.1	-1.63	14.9	11.9	2.97
Shaedon Sharpe	96	96	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	5	-9	14.8	14.8	0.08	13.2	8.9	4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.5,0.69,0.78,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.54,0.85,0.94,0.9,1,1	92.4%
LAC 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.91,0.9,1	92.0%
CLE 90, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,1,1	89.0%