NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	11.8 [16]		MVP	Naji Marshall (DAL): +18.2%
Dallas Mavericks	116		Comeback	5.7 [120]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -26.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Holland II	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.16
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Ausar Thompson	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	5	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Duren	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.05	-0.20	0.00	20	40%	-0.20	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.02,-0.12,-0.02,-0.26	-0.07	-0.22	-0.02	30	45%	-0.12	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	9	64%	0.18	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	79%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.10	-0.02	18	42%	0.18	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	54%	0.07	3	-0.13	10	80%	0.05
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	64%	0.02	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.11,-0.23,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.11	0.02	20	49%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	8	31%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.7	0.1	35.4	0.0	31.4	0.0	37.8	0.0	12.3	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +64.6%

DAL +15.4%

DET -26.7%

DAL +2.6%

DET -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	DAL	NBA	DET	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	14.2	100.0	103.6	113.5
season	14.1	13.8		115.3	109.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		112.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	14.3	13.9	13.4	13.7	13.6	13.8
DAL	12.8	12.3	14.8	17.7	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	35	34	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.04	7	-9	16	12.9	14.2	-1.33	15.8	13.7	2.09
Ronald Holland II	91	88	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	0	-2	13.8	14.0	-0.21	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Ausar Thompson	31	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	13.5	13.9	-0.39	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Paul Reed	29	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-3	4	13.6	13.9	-0.33	15.3	14.0	1.25
Daniss Jenkins	59	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-10	18	13.5	14.1	-0.60	16.1	12.4	3.69
Isaiah Stewart	82	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-7	12	13.9	13.6	0.29	15.0	12.5	2.53
Javonte Green	78	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-4	6	13.9	13.7	0.24	15.3	12.2	3.04
Duncan Robinson	57	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	14	-30	14.3	13.4	0.96	12.7	15.9	-3.22
Cade Cunningham	98	95	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	14.1	12.4	1.62	14.8	11.5	3.28
Tobias Harris	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	17	-36	14.4	13.4	1.01	13.4	15.0	-1.62
Jaden Ivey	68	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	12	-26	14.4	13.0	1.47	13.3	15.7	-2.38
Jalen Duren	95	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	4	-10	14.1	12.5	1.63	14.6	12.7	1.89
Caris LeVert	100	98	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	10	-22	14.4	9.6	4.78	14.5	13.1	1.34

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	110	114	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	14.5	3.0	11.52	13.8	0.0	13.83
Anthony Davis	89	91	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-5	12	14.8	12.5	2.31	14.1	12.7	1.43
P.J. Washington	112	114	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.3	0.0	14.31	13.8	0.0	13.83
Cooper Flagg	94	96	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	-2	6	14.8	11.7	3.15	14.2	11.8	2.38
Klay Thompson	98	99	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	7	-12	14.9	10.0	4.93	13.6	15.3	-1.73
Naji Marshall	86	89	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-4	10	15.1	11.6	3.51	14.0	13.3	0.71
Daniel Gafford	97	99	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	1	0	14.5	13.2	1.28	13.9	13.3	0.65
Ryan Nembhard	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.18	9	-7	16	14.8	14.0	0.78	14.1	13.7	0.39
D'Angelo Russell	61	60	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	9	-16	14.4	14.2	0.29	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Max Christie	79	81	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.13	-5	7	-12	14.4	14.1	0.31	13.9	13.7	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.78,0.26,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.77,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 112, MIA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.73,1	88.8%
NJN 96, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	88.2%
NOH 104, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	87.9%