NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	1.4 [895]		MVP	Dylan Harper (SAS): +19.2%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	1.2 [1223]		LVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): -14.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Sarr	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jamir Watkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	40%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyshawn George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	13	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	19%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.20	0.02	0.02	13	83%	0.20	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	12	72%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.01	0.07	9	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	11	65%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.3	26.1	13.6	28.2	0.0	31.0	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.6%

SAS +11.7%

SAS +0.8%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	14.2	94.0	119.0	113.4
season	13.9	13.8		108.7	116.7
opponent	14.6	13.9		108.5	120.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.0	14.7	14.2	15.4	15.1
SAS	11.6	14.1	15.2	14.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Vukcevic	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.23	-9	-16	7	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.0	13.6	0.47
AJ Johnson	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.23	-9	-16	7	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.0	13.6	0.47
Tre Johnson	75	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.27	-13	-12	-1	15.4	14.2	1.16	13.2	15.2	-2.00
Alex Sarr	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-12	-1	15.6	14.1	1.45	13.3	14.4	-1.18
Jamir Watkins	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-11	-3	14.9	15.2	-0.32	14.5	12.7	1.76
Bilal Coulibaly	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-10	-5	15.6	14.2	1.38	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Anthony Gill	24	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-15	5	14.7	15.2	-0.48	15.2	13.2	2.00
Kyshawn George	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-7	-11	15.5	12.7	2.74	13.5	15.0	-1.52
Bub Carrington	89	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.19	-21	-4	-17	15.5	11.9	3.55	13.7	13.9	-0.25
Will Riley	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	-4	-17	14.9	15.4	-0.59	14.3	12.6	1.74
CJ McCollum	85	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	-7	-11	15.2	14.2	1.02	14.0	11.5	2.55
Marvin Bagley III	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.12	-19	-6	-13	15.7	13.3	2.38	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Justin Champagnie	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	-9	-7	14.9	15.3	-0.40	13.3	14.2	-0.89

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	3	19	14.0	12.6	1.41	15.1	15.1	-0.09
Stephon Castle	81	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	3	19	13.7	13.7	-0.06	15.6	13.0	2.56
Julian Champagnie	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	2	21	13.8	12.7	1.12	15.4	11.9	3.50
Dylan Harper	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	3	19	13.7	13.6	0.15	15.5	12.6	2.99
De'Aaron Fox	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	9	7	13.8	13.5	0.21	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Keldon Johnson	89	89	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.19	21	4	17	13.7	13.9	-0.25	15.5	11.9	3.55
Victor Wembanyama	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	16	-7	14.6	12.6	2.08	15.2	14.9	0.25
Devin Vassell	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	14	-3	13.9	13.2	0.67	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Harrison Barnes	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	15	-5	13.3	14.0	-0.71	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Jeremy Sochan	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	11	3	12.8	14.3	-1.52	16.5	14.1	2.44
Lindy Waters III	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.23	9	16	-7	14.0	13.6	0.47	15.4	15.0	0.40
Jordan McLaughlin	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.23	9	16	-7	14.0	13.6	0.47	15.4	15.0	0.40
Bismack Biyombo	25	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.23	9	16	-7	14.0	13.6	0.47	15.4	15.0	0.40
Carter Bryant	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.20	4	21	-17	14.0	13.5	0.48	15.0	15.1	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHI 88, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.7%
MIN 89, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%