NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	7.6 [123]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +38.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.4 [106]		LVP	Naz Reid (MIN): -19.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.17	0.12	0.00	9	81%	0.29	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25	0.06	0.17	-0.01	15	56%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Oso Ighodaro	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	6	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	92%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	20	41%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Ryan Dunn	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	16	34%	-0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38	0.38	0.29	0.09	0.00	21	78%	0.42	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.01	9	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.03	-0.03	11	72%	0.24	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.20	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	7	24%	-0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	12	25%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	0.0	28.0	0.0	34.2	0.0	32.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.3%

PHX +3.3%

PHX +1.7%

PHX +20.7%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	14.1	116.1	111.7	113.7
season	13.9	14.1		112.6	116.8
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.1	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	14.3	14.4	16.7	15.3
MIN	16.6	15.7	15.0	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Gillespie	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-2	7	15.7	13.1	2.68	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Jamaree Bouyea	39	39	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.07	14	-11	25	16.1	14.8	1.26	16.6	14.6	1.95
Dillon Brooks	85	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	1	1	15.8	10.1	5.71	15.6	13.1	2.49
Grayson Allen	87	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	0	3	15.4	14.2	1.26	15.7	11.4	4.27
Royce O'Neale	92	93	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.41	1	2	-1	15.3	22.0	-6.73	15.4	23.0	-7.63
Oso Ighodaro	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-7	17	15.6	14.8	0.75	15.7	14.8	0.95
Jordan Goodwin	92	92	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	2	-1	15.2	24.0	-8.75	15.7	4.0	11.70
Mark Williams	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	3	-3	15.4	15.1	0.31	15.9	14.0	1.92
Ryan Dunn	79	79	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	1	1	15.1	16.9	-1.78	15.7	14.2	1.48

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	50	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	16.4	14.3	2.12	14.9	15.9	-1.07
Terrence Shannon Jr.	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	17.5	14.9	2.61	15.7	15.3	0.43
Bones Hyland	46	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	15.3	15.5	-0.19	15.5	15.2	0.29
Julius Randle	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.7	-0.32	15.7	12.2	3.52
Naz Reid	92	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	0	-3	15.7	4.0	11.70	15.2	24.0	-8.75
Joe Ingles	22	23	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	0	-3	15.0	15.6	-0.64	16.7	14.9	1.85
Mike Conley	73	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	3	-9	15.6	15.0	0.58	15.8	14.0	1.82
Anthony Edwards	94	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.4	0.0	15.45	15.3	0.0	15.34
Jaylen Clark	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	2	-7	15.5	15.3	0.17	15.7	14.3	1.42
Jaden McDaniels	87	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	15.9	9.9	6.04	15.5	13.0	2.53
Donte DiVincenzo	62	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	3	-9	15.3	15.8	-0.51	16.2	13.8	2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.05,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 121, MEM 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.3%
NYK 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.09,0.27,0	92.7%
CLE 118, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.06,0.07,0.31,0.15,0.27,0.1,0.21,0.09,0,0	92.6%