NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	8.7 [83]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +55.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	3.1 [158]		LVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): -18.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.55	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.51,0.55	0.20	0.37	0.01	17	81%	0.62	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.09	0.03	7	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	12	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adou Thiero	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Don?i?	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.16,-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	24	50%	0.06	5	-0.20	14	79%	0.04
Austin Reaves	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	16	30%	-0.16	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	57%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.05
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	44%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	13	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.04	-0.00	21	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.2,-0.17	-0.17	0.03	-0.19	0.01	24	56%	0.00	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.1	32.9	2.5	34.0	0.0	34.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +100.0%

PHI -26.1%

PHI -10.6%

PHI -14.9%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	14.1	112.0	108.0	113.7
season	14.5	14.7		117.0	113.7
opponent	13.6	14.0		112.0	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	14.0	13.6	15.3	13.9
PHI	13.1	13.2	19.8	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-3	10	13.9	14.0	-0.02	15.3	13.2	2.11
Rui Hachimura	94	93	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	1	2	14.1	11.0	3.13	14.8	14.9	-0.05
LeBron James	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	13.9	0.0	13.94	14.8	0.0	14.81
Luka Don?i?	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	13.9	0.0	13.94	14.8	0.0	14.81
Austin Reaves	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	4	-4	14.2	12.6	1.64	14.8	14.6	0.20
Jake LaRavia	89	91	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	4	-4	14.2	11.5	2.79	15.1	11.7	3.45
Jaxson Hayes	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-5	14	13.4	15.3	-1.92	15.6	12.7	2.86
Gabe Vincent	85	84	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	10	-16	14.6	10.3	4.32	14.9	14.2	0.74
Adou Thiero	10	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	11	-18	12.7	14.1	-1.38	12.5	15.1	-2.65
Jarred Vanderbilt	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	11	-18	13.9	13.9	0.00	12.6	15.3	-2.61

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared McCain	56	55	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-12	20	13.6	16.4	-2.86	13.6	14.4	-0.84
Jabari Walker	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	15.3	13.4	1.92	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Dominick Barlow	68	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.1	1.01	13.1	15.6	-2.53
Joel Embiid	88	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	14.4	18.1	-3.72	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Andre Drummond	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	0	-4	15.7	11.4	4.34	14.1	13.3	0.77
VJ Edgecombe	85	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-6	8	15.1	12.9	2.21	14.1	12.7	1.43
Paul George	85	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	15.0	13.8	1.19	14.0	13.5	0.51
Tyrese Maxey	100	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.8	0.0	14.81	13.9	0.0	13.94
Quentin Grimes	91	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	14.9	14.1	0.77	13.9	14.1	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.32,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, BKN 95	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.26,0.32,0.09,0	91.8%
IND 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.09,0	91.6%
NOH 91, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.04,0.04,0	91.2%