inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 111 Excitement1.4 [847] MVPTidjane Salaün (CHA): +11.6%
Toronto Raptors 86 Comeback2.6 [207] LVPBrandon Ingram (TOR): -19.1%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tidjane Salaün0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.230.030.148105%0.1200.004100%0.00
Kon Knueppel0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.020.041281%0.164-0.082100%0.01
Ryan Kalkbrenner0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.020.03671%0.0700.00540%-0.04
LaMelo Ball0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.000.01-0.04952%0.092-0.043100%0.01
Miles Bridges0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.021156%0.092-0.06580%-0.00
Sion James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00075%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Antonio Reeves0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Moussa Diabaté-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Liam McNeeley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03333%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Miller-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031440%0.024-0.10250%-0.01
KJ Simpson-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.01650%-0.017-0.15475%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.17-0.020.042263%0.151-0.045100%0.02
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jonathan Mogbo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.051237%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.00487%0.024-0.0600%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00430%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Scottie Barnes0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.031543%0.004-0.0800%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.00542%-0.013-0.08250%-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.03-0.05711%-0.091-0.02450%0.01
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.011327%-0.094-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game37.30.331.52.636.70.431.1139.9
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +52.6%
CHA +8.9%
CHA +0.5%
TOR -10.7%
TOR -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHATORNBACHATORNBA
this game13.414.414.2106.783.5113.4
season15.113.9116.9113.5
opponent14.814.1110.9112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.410.713.615.113.4
TOR14.215.913.014.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kon Knueppel90900.53-0.030.56-0.202502513.214.6-1.3313.718.8-5.12
Brandon Miller97960.500.000.50-0.202412313.118.0-4.9114.315.3-0.98
Miles Bridges91900.490.010.48-0.071961313.016.2-3.1214.513.80.69
Tidjane Salaün1041020.490.010.48-0.242502513.40.013.4214.414.00.37
Moussa Diabaté84830.460.040.420.051411313.114.8-1.7714.613.51.02
Ryan Kalkbrenner79760.450.050.40-0.252412312.815.3-2.5013.915.7-1.86
Mason Plumlee40380.410.090.33-0.3827-22912.913.7-0.8114.914.00.92
Sion James79780.290.210.080.05817-912.915.1-2.2314.414.20.17
KJ Simpson90870.200.30-0.10-0.27169713.215.1-1.9014.016.2-2.23
Liam McNeeley87840.200.30-0.11-0.27169713.115.2-2.1014.115.7-1.68
Antonio Reeves25240.190.31-0.13-0.31178915.112.92.2314.214.4-0.16
LaMelo Ball2728-0.000.50-0.51-0.06223-2113.613.40.1813.614.7-1.05

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gradey Dick8486-0.16-0.340.180.19-12-13113.916.6-2.7114.110.04.14
Jonathan Mogbo2425-0.19-0.310.130.31-17-8-914.214.4-0.1615.112.92.23
Garrett Temple2425-0.19-0.310.130.31-17-8-914.214.4-0.1615.112.92.23
Jakob Poeltl6869-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-14314.713.61.1212.914.5-1.69
Collin Murray-Boyles8789-0.24-0.260.020.29-18-7-1114.016.2-2.2313.115.5-2.39
Jamal Shead7880-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-11-314.314.6-0.2513.114.3-1.18
Jamison Battle8080-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.08-9-16714.514.00.5312.915.0-2.10
Ja'Kobe Walter7778-0.43-0.07-0.370.30-250-2513.915.7-1.7713.513.10.41
Brandon Ingram7574-0.49-0.01-0.480.06-19-6-1313.915.7-1.8012.615.4-2.73
Scottie Barnes9091-0.50-0.00-0.500.06-19-6-1314.513.80.6913.016.2-3.12
Immanuel Quickley8484-0.530.03-0.560.06-20-5-1513.816.7-2.8413.214.4-1.21
Sandro Mamukelashvili9293-0.550.05-0.590.22-261-2714.315.3-1.0112.620.5-7.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, MEM 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,095.1%
MIA 94, VAN 750.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
UTA 101, PHX 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%