NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	116		Excitement	9.2 [142]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +41.0%
Detroit Pistons	122		Comeback	4.9 [372]		LVP	Kris Murray (POR): -31.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.18	0.20	0.00	16	74%	0.54	4	-0.16	15	93%	0.09
Jerami Grant	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.14	0.04	19	62%	0.30	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Sidy Cissoko	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	25	49%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Duop Reath	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	117%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rayan Rupert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Love	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Murray	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.07	-0.24	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.29	0.04	15	66%	0.43	1	-0.01	14	93%	0.08
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.16	0.01	7	87%	0.33	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.15	-0.00	11	63%	0.28	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Duren	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.07	6	-0.14	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.4	1.4	37.6	13.6	30.9	2.3	41.3	160.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.2%

POR -7.2%

POR -3.2%

DET +33.7%

DET +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.2	114.9	117.3	113.7
season	13.9	14.1		112.0	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.1		108.1	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	14.4	16.2	12.5	14.2
DET	14.8	12.7	13.9	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rayan Rupert	25	27	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.01	5	-11	16	16.1	13.5	2.55	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Duop Reath	56	59	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-9	12	15.9	12.0	3.89	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Sidy Cissoko	74	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-8	10	14.6	12.9	1.73	13.9	13.8	0.16
Deni Avdija	93	92	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	14.0	15.9	-1.86	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Kris Murray	93	95	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	14.5	10.6	3.84	13.8	15.4	-1.69
Toumani Camara	55	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	4	-14	15.7	12.3	3.40	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Shaedon Sharpe	101	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.2	0.0	14.16	13.9	0.0	13.90
Jerami Grant	90	92	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	14.5	11.4	3.14	13.6	16.6	-3.03
Robert Williams III	87	87	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	5	-16	14.0	15.1	-1.14	13.8	14.3	-0.47
Caleb Love	65	67	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	10	-26	14.2	14.1	0.03	13.9	13.9	0.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-1	8	14.0	13.6	0.44	14.7	12.4	2.23
Tobias Harris	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	4	-2	14.2	13.0	1.22	14.3	13.6	0.75
Daniss Jenkins	102	99	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	0	6	14.1	4.0	10.10	14.3	5.5	8.83
Cade Cunningham	97	96	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	4	-2	13.7	17.1	-3.47	14.2	13.2	1.01
Ausar Thompson	93	91	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	4	-2	13.7	15.6	-1.94	14.2	13.9	0.29
Duncan Robinson	96	94	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	4	-2	13.8	14.7	-0.92	14.4	11.0	3.39
Isaiah Stewart	70	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	5	-4	14.5	12.7	1.74	14.8	12.9	1.83
Ronald Holland II	84	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	14.5	11.6	2.85	14.5	12.5	2.01
Javonte Green	26	27	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	12.7	14.3	-1.62	14.4	14.1	0.39
Caris LeVert	77	74	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.8	12.5	2.29
Jaden Ivey	54	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	8	-10	14.6	13.1	1.51	15.4	12.8	2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.36,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 79, NOK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.83,1	91.5%
UTA 97, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.68,0.9,1	91.1%
MIL 84, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	90.8%