NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	109		Excitement	9.5 [78]		MVP	Jericho Sims (MIL): +33.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	9.1 [88]		LVP	Caris LeVert (DET): -40.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.14	0.15	-0.03	14	67%	0.31	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Reed	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	5	90%	0.20	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	10	65%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Javonte Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	10	24%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.12,-0.17	-0.01	-0.17	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.21	6	100%	0.08
Caris LeVert	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.13,-0.4	-0.12	-0.29	-0.01	10	18%	-0.31	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.22	0.02	7	100%	0.37	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.03
AJ Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.06	0.03	12	73%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.03	13	46%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Rollins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0,-0.09,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	16	63%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.08
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	18	60%	0.17	7	-0.14	7	100%	0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.4	31.2	13.3	29.3	0.0	35.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.1%

MIL +16.3%

DET -11.4%

MIL +14.4%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	14.2	111.2	111.9	113.5
season	14.1	14.7		115.3	112.1
opponent	14.3	14.2		115.8	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.4	15.5	14.1	15.3	14.8
MIL	13.6	12.8	15.9	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	69	70	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.05	8	-12	20	14.4	15.7	-1.25	14.4	13.4	1.05
Jaden Ivey	64	65	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.24	10	-14	24	13.3	17.6	-4.22	15.1	12.2	2.97
Javonte Green	48	50	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-5	6	13.7	15.8	-2.11	15.0	13.2	1.82
Ronald Holland II	85	87	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-2	0	14.6	16.5	-1.91	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Ausar Thompson	77	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.47	9	-13	22	13.8	18.4	-4.61	15.1	10.3	4.81
Daniss Jenkins	88	91	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.51	9	-13	22	14.2	19.9	-5.67	14.7	8.6	6.08
Jalen Duren	66	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-4	4	14.8	14.8	-0.06	14.8	12.4	2.39
Caris LeVert	98	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.8	0.0	14.81	14.1	0.0	14.08
Tobias Harris	88	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.55	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Paul Reed	48	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	3	-10	14.7	14.9	-0.23	15.0	13.2	1.79
Cade Cunningham	93	95	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	14.7	16.6	-1.89	14.0	15.0	-0.98

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Green	91	88	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-1	6	14.0	14.5	-0.47	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Kevin Porter Jr.	91	88	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	1	2	14.0	14.5	-0.47	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Myles Turner	78	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.56	-1	5	-6	14.1	14.0	0.16	14.3	16.8	-2.49
Bobby Portis	99	97	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	1	2	14.4	0.5	13.85	14.9	6.0	8.90
Jericho Sims	97	93	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	14.3	8.5	5.81	14.6	18.8	-4.21
Ryan Rollins	92	90	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.50	-9	13	-22	14.4	11.0	3.38	14.4	19.7	-5.38
Kyle Kuzma	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.54	-11	15	-26	15.0	12.0	3.00	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Giannis Antetokounmpo	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	10	-16	12.2	14.2	-1.99	11.2	15.1	-3.87
Gary Trent Jr.	76	73	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.07	-9	13	-22	14.5	12.8	1.65	14.4	16.0	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.1,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.41,0.42,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.39,0.22,0.32,0.73,1	89.0%
SAC 98, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.39,0.17,0.58,1	88.5%
DAL 107, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.58,1	88.5%