NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	120		Excitement	9.3 [134]		MVP	Desmond Bane (ORL): +61.8%
Orlando Magic	125		Comeback	9.8 [328]		LVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): -15.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.06	0.00	10	80%	0.23	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.03,0,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	14	67%	0.30	8	-0.20	5	60%	-0.03
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	13	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matas Buzelis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.02	16	55%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Emanuel Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.01	7	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	13	64%	0.12	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lachlan Olbrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62	0.62	0.28	0.33	-0.00	17	84%	0.67	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.09
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.20	0.00	15	61%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.01	8	77%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Noah Penda	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	18	64%	0.13	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	13	36%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	0.4	29.8	13.2	32.2	0.3	41.8	144.7
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.4%

ORL +9.9%

ORL +15.9%

ORL +7.8%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.2	12.4	14.2	110.1	116.8	113.7
season	13.6	14.1		111.5	113.3
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.4	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	14.2	12.3	17.0	14.2
ORL	12.2	13.0	11.3	13.6	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	85	86	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.06	12	-17	29	14.8	11.9	2.87	12.6	11.7	0.90
Emanuel Miller	78	78	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-12	19	13.7	15.3	-1.59	12.2	13.1	-0.86
Kevin Huerter	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	13.4	14.3	-0.91	12.1	12.5	-0.46
Nikola Vu?evi?	92	89	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-17	29	14.4	12.6	1.86	12.7	11.4	1.26
Lachlan Olbrich	67	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	13.6	15.1	-1.49	12.0	13.2	-1.25
Jevon Carter	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	15.0	13.8	1.24	12.7	12.3	0.35
Ayo Dosunmu	90	89	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	14.9	10.5	4.46	12.6	11.5	1.13
Matas Buzelis	99	97	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-6	7	13.9	16.6	-2.69	12.4	12.8	-0.40
Josh Giddey	105	102	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-5	5	14.1	15.7	-1.65	12.5	12.0	0.46
Tre Jones	109	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.2	0.0	14.16	12.4	0.0	12.44
Patrick Williams	96	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.5	11.6	2.88	12.6	11.3	1.29

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	98	100	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	12.6	11.2	1.33	14.6	9.4	5.14
Desmond Bane	91	94	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	12.6	11.6	1.03	14.6	11.3	3.27
Jonathan Isaac	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	12.9	11.9	1.05	15.7	12.2	3.41
Wendell Carter Jr.	82	84	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	8	-11	12.7	11.4	1.30	15.0	11.5	3.47
Jalen Suggs	98	99	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	10	-15	12.5	11.4	1.09	14.4	11.5	2.92
Franz Wagner	93	95	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	15	-25	12.6	11.6	0.92	14.4	12.7	1.65
Jett Howard	26	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	13.0	12.3	0.69	14.2	14.1	0.04
Tyus Jones	78	80	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	9	-13	12.4	12.4	-0.01	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Goga Bitadze	85	87	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	12	-19	12.4	12.4	0.04	13.6	16.2	-2.54
Noah Penda	42	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.13	-3	8	-11	12.0	12.8	-0.80	14.3	14.0	0.31
Tristan da Silva	66	68	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.02	-17	22	-39	12.3	12.6	-0.28	13.5	15.2	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.27,0.47,0.64,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.29,0.45,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.91,1	91.0%
ORL 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.18,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.91,1	89.5%
CHA 82, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.55,0.64,0.91,0.96,1	89.2%