NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	126		Excitement	9.7 [69]		MVP	Khris Middleton (WAS): +50.2%
Washington Wizards	129		Comeback	11.0 [21]		LVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): -17.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.27	0.15	0.01	15	94%	0.44	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.00	7	82%	0.30	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.13,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.12	0.02	17	58%	0.23	5	-0.11	11	55%	-0.15
Bobby Portis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.04	6	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.5	0.50	0.06	0.46	0.02	10	65%	0.55	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.11
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.10	0.01	21	62%	0.25	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	16	69%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	7	73%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	14	61%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.02	8	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.01	9	37%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.00
Kyshawn George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	11	41%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.0	29.4	0.0	28.0	0.0	36.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +20.0%

MIL -2.9%

WAS +22.4%

WAS +11.8%

MIL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	13.1	14.2	122.3	127.7	113.5
season	14.7	13.8		112.1	108.4
opponent	14.1	14.3		120.0	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	14.1	14.2	18.1	15.0
WAS	13.1	13.0	11.5	15.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	74	72	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.08	9	-12	21	15.1	14.8	0.31	13.0	13.6	-0.63
Cole Anthony	26	23	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-9	15	14.8	15.1	-0.37	12.5	13.3	-0.86
Bobby Portis	76	73	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.10	-2	-1	-1	15.1	15.0	0.02	12.6	14.6	-2.03
AJ Green	90	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-3	3	15.3	13.6	1.64	13.3	12.2	1.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	15.5	13.2	2.29	13.3	12.2	1.18
Myles Turner	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-4	5	15.4	13.7	1.67	13.2	12.9	0.31
Jericho Sims	84	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	5	-13	15.5	13.0	2.51	13.2	12.9	0.30
Ryan Rollins	81	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	6	-15	15.2	14.6	0.58	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Gary Trent Jr.	83	81	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	6	-15	15.4	13.4	2.05	12.9	14.1	-1.26
Kyle Kuzma	88	85	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	10	-23	15.6	11.6	4.04	13.1	13.2	-0.06

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyshawn George	89	92	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-3	9	13.0	14.4	-1.45	15.5	11.5	4.02
CJ McCollum	91	93	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	0	3	13.1	13.5	-0.40	15.4	12.0	3.38
Khris Middleton	87	88	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.45	0	3	-3	13.1	13.2	-0.09	15.4	13.3	2.09
Bilal Coulibaly	86	86	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	4	-5	13.3	12.0	1.34	15.3	14.0	1.26
Marvin Bagley III	86	86	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	4	-5	13.3	12.0	1.34	15.3	14.0	1.26
Tristan Vukcevic	74	77	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	2	-1	12.7	14.3	-1.58	15.4	14.1	1.30
Cam Whitmore	76	78	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.10	1	2	-1	12.9	13.8	-0.83	15.4	13.9	1.49
Bub Carrington	76	79	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	3	-3	12.4	15.2	-2.79	14.7	16.3	-1.62
Justin Champagnie	88	90	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.09	-5	8	-13	12.8	15.2	-2.40	14.6	18.2	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.27,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.35,0.53,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.72,1	91.3%
PHI 88, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1	90.8%
NJN 104, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.23,0.16,1	90.1%