NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	8.9 [178]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +31.6%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	4.3 [441]		LVP	Daniss Jenkins (DET): -31.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.35,0.32	0.14	0.23	0.05	19	68%	0.42	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.28	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.11	-0.04	17	69%	0.44	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.01
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
V�t Krej?�	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	14	34%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	0.01	-0.16	0.02	18	56%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.13	-0.00	8	85%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	12	75%	0.29	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.17,-0.12,-0.13,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.16	-0.00	15	53%	0.27	6	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	14	28%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31	-0.31	-0.23	-0.08	0.01	16	18%	-0.25	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	0.0	24.1	0.0	24.0	0.0	33.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -1.6%

DET +18.1%

DET +39.0%

ATL -13.4%

DET +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.2	97.0	98.0	113.7
season	13.4	14.1		113.9	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		108.1	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	13.8	14.6	14.0	14.1
DET	14.8	13.3	14.2	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaccharie Risacher	63	63	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-4	7	13.2	15.5	-2.26	14.0	15.2	-1.21
Dyson Daniels	93	94	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-4	7	13.9	16.5	-2.62	14.7	10.1	4.58
Keaton Wallace	79	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-3	5	13.8	15.2	-1.46	14.6	13.7	0.87
Mouhamed Gueye	80	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-6	11	13.5	16.1	-2.59	14.5	14.2	0.23
Jalen Johnson	90	90	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-3	5	14.0	15.2	-1.23	14.3	15.2	-0.87
V�t Krej?�	82	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	5	-11	14.0	14.5	-0.47	14.6	13.4	1.24
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	86	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-1	1	13.8	16.0	-2.24	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Onyeka Okongwu	101	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.1	0.0	14.09	14.4	0.0	14.41
Luke Kennard	88	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	3	-7	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.5	13.7	0.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	101	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.4	0.0	14.41	14.1	0.0	14.09
Caris LeVert	101	100	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	0	1	14.4	0.0	14.41	14.2	0.0	14.23
Isaiah Stewart	101	100	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	0	1	14.4	0.0	14.41	14.2	0.0	14.23
Tobias Harris	92	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	5	-9	14.6	12.1	2.52	13.8	16.2	-2.35
Jalen Duren	84	84	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	3	-5	14.6	13.3	1.34	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Daniss Jenkins	66	68	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.47	-8	9	-17	14.1	14.9	-0.82	13.3	15.7	-2.39
Ausar Thompson	86	85	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.39	-8	9	-17	14.7	12.8	1.89	14.2	13.6	0.55
Javonte Green	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-5	11	12.9	14.6	-1.70	13.6	14.2	-0.54
Ronald Holland II	74	75	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	1	-1	15.0	12.8	2.22	13.9	14.5	-0.55
Jaden Ivey	76	74	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	14.5	14.0	0.54	13.9	14.5	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.72,0.97,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.9,0.47,1	90.7%
SAC 103, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.69,0.93,0.94,1,1	89.4%
POR 89, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.63,0.86,0.74,1	89.3%