inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 123 Excitement8.2 [77] MVPAjay Mitchell (OKC): +18.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 115 Comeback1.7 [218] LVPShaedon Sharpe (POR): -17.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ajay Mitchell0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.190.100.120.02971%0.211-0.026100%0.03
Chet Holmgren0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.130.020.10-0.011556%0.182-0.04425%-0.06
Isaiah Joe0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.00875%0.1300.004100%0.04
Kenrich Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.004100%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.05,0.09,0.090.090.060.061562%0.163-0.071283%0.02
Luguentz Dort0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01771%0.0700.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00462%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.001842%0.021-0.042100%0.01
Cason Wallace-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.01530%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00529%-0.061-0.02450%-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kris Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.040.12-0.00965%0.212-0.05250%-0.02
Deni Avdija0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.120.120.150.030.061461%0.161-0.042383%0.01
Toumani Camara0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.04-0.011268%0.213-0.094100%0.03
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.00470%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Caleb Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.02-0.011246%0.0100.002100%0.02
Sidy Cissoko0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.00542%0.0000.002100%0.01
Rayan Rupert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.000.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Yang Hansen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Duop Reath0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.09-0.041850%0.024-0.1200%0.00
Shaedon Sharpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.110.00744%-0.043-0.1420%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.229.00.032.70.035.90.0
league avg26.32.228.714.729.32.432.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +29.5%
POR -4.8%
OKC +7.8%
OKC +14.6%
OKC +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPORNBAOKCPORNBA
this game12.514.014.1113.9105.5113.6
season13.813.6118.1112.2
opponent14.014.5115.7102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC11.913.112.012.812.5
POR15.612.714.713.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chet Holmgren80820.69-0.190.880.2216-82412.811.61.1614.811.82.99
Jalen Williams87870.52-0.020.540.3171612.612.00.6313.715.4-1.73
Ajay Mitchell1081090.500.000.500.2780812.50.012.4614.00.014.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander1081090.500.000.490.2680812.50.012.4614.00.014.03
Jaylin Williams1011020.440.060.380.2471612.610.71.8714.014.3-0.28
Kenrich Williams28290.360.140.220.2153213.512.11.3515.313.61.70
Aaron Wiggins76760.310.190.110.1944012.612.20.3514.812.32.52
Luguentz Dort84850.290.210.080.2617-612.711.80.8614.113.60.52
Cason Wallace61620.160.34-0.180.0735-212.013.0-0.9914.713.11.62
Isaiah Joe7778-0.090.59-0.68-0.06-19-1012.512.40.0614.313.40.94

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yang Hansen10100.07-0.570.64-0.023-111415.213.91.2914.012.31.69
Rayan Rupert2526-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-3-215.613.62.0411.912.6-0.71
Duop Reath2323-0.17-0.330.150.09-91-1015.213.71.5111.712.7-1.03
Caleb Love9087-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-4014.412.32.0712.213.7-1.49
Kris Murray9091-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.24-2-6413.815.1-1.3112.512.00.55
Toumani Camara102102-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.30-3-5213.719.1-5.4712.512.20.31
Sidy Cissoko7474-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.17-91-1013.914.3-0.4612.811.80.93
Robert Williams III100100-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.27-6-2-414.112.71.4812.79.72.93
Jerami Grant109108-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-814.00.014.0312.50.012.46
Deni Avdija109108-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-814.00.014.0312.50.012.46
Shaedon Sharpe8888-0.660.16-0.82-0.19-168-2414.611.63.0412.711.41.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 115, NYK 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,093.6%
SAS 85, WAS 770.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0,092.8%
PHI 89, CHI 810.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.17,0,092.6%