NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	142		Excitement	13.7 [5]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +65.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	134		Comeback	38.1 [9]		LVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): -27.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Johnson	0.48	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.44,0.49,0.48	0.09	0.38	-0.00	21	64%	0.72	6	-0.24	22	77%	0.20
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.14	0.15	0.01	22	68%	0.41	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.06
Keaton Wallace	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	5	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	72%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Asa Newell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
V�t Krej?�	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	14	55%	0.04	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Luke Kennard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	14	36%	-0.16	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.65	0.65	0.09	0.53	-0.03	31	56%	0.81	6	-0.16	17	82%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.15	-0.10	0.03	15	74%	0.19	3	-0.17	8	100%	0.05
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	7	36%	0.18	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	53%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.02	17	44%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	14	50%	-0.10	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.6	0.0	27.3	0.0	40.1	0.0	39.8	0.0	22.4	0.0	15.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.2	28.7	14.7	29.3	2.4	32.6	2.3	16.7	2.3	16.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -2.8%

ATL +19.9%

ATL +35.8%

ATL +0.4%

PHI -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.3	14.6	14.1	110.1	103.9	113.6
season	13.3	14.7		114.2	114.2
opponent	13.6	14.6		114.0	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	12.5	13.3	13.4	11.1	11.1	12.4
PHI	13.1	16.7	15.4	14.3	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	116	116	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-2	12	12.4	12.0	0.36	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Dyson Daniels	116	116	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-2	12	12.4	12.0	0.36	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	119	119	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	12.3	13.2	-0.95	14.7	13.3	1.44
Onyeka Okongwu	128	127	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	12.4	8.0	4.36	14.7	10.5	4.19
V�t Krej?�	95	95	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-4	16	12.6	11.5	1.08	14.8	14.2	0.53
Keaton Wallace	68	71	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	8	-8	12.9	11.7	1.21	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Zaccharie Risacher	91	92	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	0	8	12.0	13.1	-1.14	15.2	13.1	2.17
Mouhamed Gueye	94	95	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	11	-14	12.6	11.5	1.15	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Asa Newell	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	9	-10	12.7	12.2	0.48	13.3	15.0	-1.70
Luke Kennard	63	64	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	17	-26	13.6	11.1	2.56	14.3	15.0	-0.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-12	16	13.1	15.1	-1.99	12.5	12.3	0.27
Justin Edwards	84	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-1	-6	15.0	13.9	1.17	12.7	11.7	1.01
Paul George	81	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	3	-14	14.6	14.7	-0.09	12.2	12.6	-0.45
Joel Embiid	82	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	0	-8	14.2	15.4	-1.19	12.1	12.7	-0.59
VJ Edgecombe	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	15.1	13.9	1.25	12.8	11.6	1.12
Quentin Grimes	127	126	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	14.6	17.0	-2.41	12.4	7.3	5.11
Tyrese Maxey	117	118	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	0	-8	14.5	15.5	-0.96	12.5	10.6	1.85
Dominick Barlow	120	119	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	4	-16	14.7	14.2	0.44	12.3	12.8	-0.51
Adem Bona	89	89	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.43	-16	8	-24	15.7	12.3	3.34	12.5	11.8	0.69
Jared McCain	124	123	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.56	-14	6	-20	14.9	8.2	6.69	12.8	3.2	9.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.8,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.38,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.02,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.75,0.73,0.5,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 136, OKC 132	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.49,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.77,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.33,0.04,0	87.1%
NYK 125, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.32,0.07,0.02,0,0	86.1%
DEN 134, NOP 131	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0	85.9%